摘要
中国和美国是世界IT产品生产和贸易大国,两国贸易发展十分迅速。基于修正的CMS模型,对1997-2014年中美IT产品贸易增长因素进行量化分解。结果发现:(1)出口价格竞争效应是中美IT产品贸易增长的主导因素,表明两国制造业成本差距不断缩小。(2)市场需求引致效应对两国IT产品贸易增长贡献趋于增强,中国市场需求较美国更为强劲。(3)市场需求和供给错位导致出口商品结构效应偏低甚至出现负值,对两国IT产品贸易增长起到制约作用。研究结论深化和丰富了国际贸易理论,揭示了未来中国IT产业贸易竞争优势转变方向,对提升中美IT产品贸易发展质量和扩大贸易规模具有指导意义。
China and the United States are important IT production and trading powers in the world,and their bilateral trade has developed very rapidly. Based on the revised CMS model,this paper decomposes the IT product trade growth factors between China and the United States from 1997 to 2014. The findings are as follows： first,export price competitiveness effect is the major trade growth factor between China and the United States,and manufacturing cost gap tends to narrow; second,market demand effect continues to enhance but demand strongest in China than the United States; and third,export structure effect is low or even negative as a result of the dislocation of export structure and market demand,which restricts the growth of trade between the two countries. The conclusions of this paper not only deepen and enrich the theory of international trade,but also reveal the future direction of China＇s IT industry competitive advantage. It has a guiding significance to enhance the IT products trade quality and expand trade scale between China and the United States.
作者
王玉荣
吴刚
Wang Yurong, Wu Gang(Business School, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, Chin)
出处
《科研管理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2018年第3期20-28,共9页
Science Research Management
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目"‘十二五’时期我国发展的创新驱动战略研究"(11&D004)
国家社会科学基金规划项目"我国战略新兴产业技术创新路径研究"(12BGL019)
