摘要
我国经济已经进入"新常态"发展区间,以持续扩大投资规模来谋求经济增长的传统路径已经难以为继;供给侧结构性改革的关键是突破长期来形成的路径依赖,促进经济社会和城市发展走上转型和创新之路。本文以深圳市为比较研究的标杆,同时以广州与天津市作为比较研究对象。首先分析三市1986—2015年期间需求侧"三驾马车"对经济增长的贡献,然后引入供给侧多增长要素解析城市经济增长的显著贡献要素及其贡献度;同时结合改革开放以来的经济发展背景及政策导向,对三市发展的路径特征及变化趋势做辨析。最后基于比较研究,从三个方面探讨新时代的特大城市发展之路及城市规划对策。
As China＇s economy has entered a ＂new normal＂ development period, it is hard to promote economic growth by making more investments. The key to the supply-side structural reform is to break through the long-term path dependence and promote the transformation and innovation of socio-economic and urban development. This paper takes Shenzhen as the benchmark of this comparative study, and Guangzhou and Tianjin as research objects. Firstly, it analyzes the contributions of the demandside ＂troika＂ – investment, consumption, and export to economic growth from 1986 to 2015, and then explores multiple supply-side growth factors. Secondly, combining the economic development background and policy guidance since the reform and opening up, it analyzes the characteristics and transformation trends of the three cities＇ development paths. Finally, based on the comparative study, it probes into the development path and urban planning strategies of mega-cities from three aspects.
作者
耿佳
赵民
GENG Jia;ZHAO Min
出处
《城市规划》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2018年第3期9-16,共8页
City Planning Review
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(批准号：51578382)资助
关键词
特大城市
转型和创新
比较研究
规划策略
mega-cities
transformation andinnovation
comparative study
planning strategies
