摘要
为探讨农业保险对我国农民收入的影响,本文从灾前效应与灾后效应两个维度,使用我国30个省(自治区、直辖市)2007-2015年面板数据,构建系统GMM与门槛面板模型进行分析。研究结果表明:农民收入具有惯性,农业保险灾前效应是显著抑制农民收入增加,灾后效应是显著促进农民收入增加,总效应是正向影响农民收入,但影响力度并不大;农业保险灾前对农民收入的影响存在显著的门槛特征,而灾后对农民收入的影响并不存在门槛特征。
In order to explore the impact of agricultural insurance on farmers’income in China,this paper uses panel data of 30 provinces（autonomous regions,municipalities directly under the Central Government）in 2007-2015 from the two dimensions of pre-disaster effects and post-disaster effects to construct dynamic panel and threshold panel models to analyze.Research indicates：The peasants’income has the inertia.Pre-disaster effect of agricultural insurance is to significantly reduce the increase of peasants’income,the post-disaster effect of peasants is to significantly increase the income of peasants,and the overall effect is to positively affect the peasants’income,but the impact is not strong.The effect of pre-disaster agricultural insurance on peasants’income has a significant threshold feature,but the impact of peasant income does not have the threshold feature.
出处
《浙江金融》
2018年第4期52-59,共8页
Zhejiang Finance
关键词
农业保险
农民收入
系统GMM模型
门槛模型
Agricultural Insurance
Farmer’s Income
System GMM Model
Threshold Model
