摘要
基于西部大开发战略(WDS)对产业结构的"结构趋优演化"和"转型升级拖累"效应逻辑框架,利用PSM-DID法对WDS的产业结构转型升级净效应进行检验。研究结果表明:(1)WDS能促进西部地区产业结构合理化,但未促进产业结构高级化,即未有效促进西部地区产业结构转型升级;(2)WDS对西部地区产业结构高级化的作用先正后负,对产业结构合理化的促进作用逐渐减弱,"转型升级拖累"效应逐渐加强;(3)WDS存在"人力资本挤出"及城市化抑制效应且未有效利用外资,对基础设施具有正影响但因布局不合理等并未促进西部地区产业结构转型升级;(4)WDS对西部高行政等级城市的产业结构转型升级推动作用显著,对西部一般城市不显著。因此,未来WDS应结合当地经济发展实力及资源禀赋,兼顾城市等级发展各地具有自生能力的优势产业,带动西部地区产业结构转型升级。
Based on logical framework of evolution effect of structural optimization and drag effect of transformation and upgrading resulting from western development strategy（ WDS）,this paper tests the net effect of industrial structure transformation and upgrading（ ISTU） of WDS through PSM-DID method. The findings show that：（ 1） WDS can promote industrial structure rationalization（ ISR） in western region,but not promote industrial structure advancement（ ISA）,that is,WDS does not promote ISTU in western region;（ 2） The function of WDS on ISA is changed from positive to negative and on ISR is gradually weakened,the drag effect of transformation and upgrading gradually strengthen;（ 3） There exists ＂crowding out of human capital＂and urbanization inhibitory effects and inefficiently uses foreign investment in WDS. Though WDS has positive effect on infrastructure,there may be unreasonable layout and it does not promote ISTU in western region;（ 4） The net effect of WDS plays a significant role to promote ISTU in cities of high administrative level in western region,while not significant in general cities. Therefore,WDS should develop advantage industries with viability relying on its local resource endowments,the strength of local economic development and take the different urban hierarchy into consideration in the future,then promote ISTU in western region.
作者
袁航
朱承亮
YUAN Hang;ZHU Cheng-liang(Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, China;Institute of Quantitative ＆ Technical Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100732, China)
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2018年第6期67-81,共15页
China Soft Science
基金
国家社科基金青年项目"大众创业对中国经济发展的影响研究"(16CJL017)
中国社会科学院创新工程项目"新时代动能转换的机制与效果评价"
中国博士后科学基金面上资助<科技创新驱动中国经济发展的机制及效果研究>
关键词
西部大开发战略(WDS)
结构趋优演化效应
转型升级拖累效应
倾向得分匹配
双重差分
western develupment strategy （WDS）
the evolution effeet of structural optimization
the drag effect oftransformation and upgrading
propensity score matching
difference in difference
