摘要
文章构建了入境客流集聚市场供给模型,以"一带一路"核心区为主要研究对象,着眼于中国境内31个省区(不包含港澳台),从集聚市场的供给强度、供给状态和供给系统稳定性3个维度,深入探究区域入境客流的集聚市场供给特征。研究发现:(1)北上广和陕西等省区吸引了大部分集聚市场入境客流的较多份额,由此带来了各省区集聚市场的不均衡发展,却面临着其他省区入境旅游发展带来的巨大竞争压力。(2)作为新疆的集聚市场,较多西部省区开发程度较高,东部省区和中部省区开发程度却很低,其中,东部相比中部的表现更为突出,同时供给强度大的集聚市场完全分布于东部和西部,供给强度弱的集聚市场在东中西部均有分布。(3)除了江西外,其他省区均为福建的潜力态集聚市场,其中,西部省区几乎全部为最具潜力的集聚市场,同时供给强度大的集聚市场完全分布于东部省区,供给强度弱的集聚市场主要分布于西部省区。文章针对集聚市场供给主要特征结果进行了深入分析和探讨,给出了集聚市场供给强度和供给状态的主要影响因素。
Inbound tourism is influenced by many factors including economic development, tourism resources, geographical environment, infrastructure, and traffic conditions. Thus, it presents obvious regional differences and regional characteristics, and each region has different supply characteristics in the concentrated markets of inbound tourist flows. To address these issues, the paper takes the regional supply of the concentrated markets of inbound tourist flows as the breakthrough point, and constructs new models of regional concentration and the diffusion of inbound tourist flows. It also probes the supply characteristics of the concentrated markets of inbound tourist flows in China＇s provincial regions, looking at the three dimensions of supply intensity, supply state, and the supply system stability of the concentrated markets. This is based on the study of the supply intensity of the concentrated markets. Here, two aspects are emphasized： first, the quantity of the supply state and supply system stability within all provinces are analyzed to obtain a national ranking for the 31 provinces from a macroscopic visual angle; and second, the main supply characteristics of the concentrated markets for＂The Belt and Road＂core regions（as the main research object） are studied as an example of the other provinces.The following results were obtained.（1） Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong, and Shaanxi have attracted a larger market share than the other concentrated markets of inbound tourist flows, resulting in the uneven development of provincial concentrated markets. However, those four areas face enormous competitive pressure from the other provinces with the development of inbound tourism.（2） As with the concentrated market of Xinjiang, the development level of the more western provinces is high, but the development level of eastern and central provinces is very low, with eastern regions performing better than central ones. Furthermore, the concentrated markets with strong supply intensity are distributed in the eastern and western areas, and those with weak supply intensity are distributed in the east, middle, and west of China.（3） As with the concentrated market of Fujian, all the other provinces are potential concentrated markets except Jiangxi, and almost all of the western provinces represent those markets with the greatest potential. Furthermore, agglomerated markets only exist in the eastern provinces, as are those concentrated markets with strong supply intensity. Concentrated markets with weak supply intensity are mainly distributed in the west.Finally, this paper provides a deep analysis and discussion on the findings regarding the main supply characteristics of concentrated markets, and identifies those factors with the greatest influence on supply intensity and the supply state of concentrated markets. The analysis shows that the main influencing factors of supply intensity include the number of tourist arrivals to the concentrated market and the location relationship between the concentrated market and the research province. The key factors affecting the supply state include the tourism competitive capital of the research province, the geographical core position of the research province in China, and the location relationship between the concentrated market and the research province.
作者
吴良平
张健
WU Liangping;ZHANG Jian(School of Economics ＆ Management,Southeast University,Nanjing 211189,China;School of Business of Sichuan Normal University,Chengdu 610101,China;School of Mathematical Sciences,University of Electronic Science and Technology of China,Chengdu 611731,China)
出处
《旅游学刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第7期40-51,共12页
Tourism Tribune
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目"‘一带一路’背景下入境旅游统计分析及优化布局研究"(16CGL026)资助~~
关键词
入境客流
“一带一路”核心区
集聚市场
供给模型
供给特征
inbound tourist flow
＂the Belt and Road＂ core regions
concentrated market
supplymodel
supply characteristics
