摘要
基于2014年"中国劳动力动态调查"数据,利用有序Probit回归,分析了流动农民工风险认知对其城市定居意愿的影响及流动农民工风险认知的影响因素,并使用有序Logistic回归和倾向得分匹配法进行稳健性检验。结果表明:风险认知的提升会降低流动农民工的城市定居意愿;在风险认知的影响因素中,经济融合和文化融合显著正向影响流动农民工的风险认知,社会融合和政治融合显著负向影响流动农民工的风险认知。据此,提出降低流动农民工客观风险的发生概率与加强对流动农民工风险认知的积极引导等对策,以期为相关机构研究流动农民工市民化提供一定的参考。
Based on the data of China Labor-force Dynamics Survey in 2014, using Ordered Probit regression, this paper analyzed the impact of migrant workers＇ risk perception on their settlement intention in Chinese cities and the influence factors of migrant workers′ risk perception, and use Ordered Logistic regression and Propensity Score Matching method for robustness test. The results show that the improvement of risk perception will reduce settlement intention of migrant workers. Among the factors affecting risk perception , economic integration and cultural integration have significantly positive effects on migrant workers＇ risk perception, while social integration and political integration have significantly negative effects on migrant workers＇ risk perception. Accordingly, this paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions, such as reducing the probability of objective risks and strengthens the effective guidance of the risk perception level of migrant workers, so as to provide some reference for relevant institutions to study the transformation of migrant workers into citizens.
作者
李天成
李明川
孟繁邨
LI Tian-cheng;LI Ming-chuan;MENG Fan-tun(College of Economies and Management,South China Agricultural University,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510642,China)
出处
《福建农林大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
2018年第5期70-75,89,共7页
Journal of Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目(13CJY055)
关键词
流动农民工
风险认知
城市融合
城市定居意愿
migrant workers
risk perception
urban integration
settlement intention in Chinese cities
