摘要
选取上海市2006—2015年的时间序列数据,构建"互联网+"与产业结构升级评价指标体系,运用向量自回归模型对上海市"互联网+"信息化指数与工业产业结构升级综合得分进行实证研究,分析彼此间的动态互动关系。研究表明,虽然上海市在"两化融合"中的信息化与工业化之间存在一定的相互推动作用,但是"互联网+"发展水平仅是促进产业结构升级的单向格兰杰原因,上海市的信息化发展还处在初级阶段,"互联网+"应用还未深入工业产业结构的高层次升级中。
This paper selects the time series data of 2006-2015 in Shanghai City, and builds the evaluation index system of ＂Internet Plus＂ and industrial structure upgrading. The paper uses Vector Auto regressive model to make an empirical research on Shanghai ＂Internet Plus＂ information index and the comprehensive score of industrial structure upgrading, and analyzes the dynamic interactive relationship between each other. Research shows that although Shanghai City has a positive effect in the interaction between informationization and industrialization, the development level of ＂Internet Plus＂ is only the one-way Grainger Cause that contributes to the promotion of the upgrading of the industrial structure; the information development level of Shanghai City is still in the early stage, and ＂Internet Plus＂ applications have not yet been rooted into the high-level upgrading of industry industrial structure.
作者
黄智
万建香
Huang Zhi;Wan Jianxiang(Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China)
出处
《科技管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第17期81-87,共7页
Science and Technology Management Research
基金
国家社会科学基金重大招标项目"'互联网+'驱动传统产业创新发展路径及模式研究"(16ZDA014)
关键词
两化融合
“互联网+”
工业产业结构升级
the integration of informationization and industrialization
internet plus
the upgrading of industrial structure
