摘要
对新电力体制改革下不同售电公司的销售电价和市场竞争力进行了研究。首先,在对目前存在的售电公司类型及其特点进行分析的基础上,基于Bertrand模型构建各类售电公司的定价模型,所求得的均衡解即作为该公司的合理定价。其次,利用层次分析法(AHP)构建用户效用模型,并利用Logit模型模拟电力用户对不同售电公司的选择概率,从而得到开放售电市场环境下各类售电公司的市场占有率。通过实际算例分析验证了所提模型的合理性和可行性,所得结论可为新电力体制改革下售电公司制定市场运营策略提供理论参考。
The pricing and market competitiveness of different electricity retailers are studied under New Strategy of Electric Power System Reformation （NSEPSR）. Firstly, based on the analysis of the types and characteristics of the existing electricity retailers, the pricing model of all kinds of electricity retailers is constructed based on the Bertrand model. The equilibrium solution is the reasonable pricing of the retailer. Secondly, the user utility model is constructed by using the analytic hierarchy process （AHP）, and the Logit model is used to simulate the probability of the selection of different electricity retailers. The market share of all kinds of electricity retailers in the open market environment is obtained. The feasibility of the proposed model is verified by practical examples. The conclusion could provide a theoretical reference for the market operation strategy of the electricity retailer under the reform of power system.
作者
张文元
肖宝辉
李姝润
ZHANG Wenyuan;XIAO Baohui;LI Shurun(Shanxi International Energy Group Co.,Ltd,Taiyuan 030022,China;Energy Saving Design and Research Institute of State Grid（Beijing）,Beijing 102600,China;Sehool of Electronic Information and Eleetrieal Engineering,Shanghai Jiaotong University,Shanghai 200240,China)
出处
《智慧电力》
北大核心
2018年第9期45-52,共8页
Smart Power
基金
国家自然科学基金项目资助(7140030781)~~
