摘要
农产品贸易是中美贸易中少有的逆差项目,具有压舱石的重要地位,从长期和短期两个角度分析了2018年4月以来的中美贸易摩擦对中国农业的影响。结果发现:其一,中美贸易摩擦将是长期的、系统的、复杂的;其二,短期内看国内大豆价格可能阶段性走高;其三,从长期来看本次贸易摩擦对中国农业发展有一定利好。
Agricultural products trade is a rare deficit project in China-US trade, regarded as ballast stone in China-US trade. The authors analyzed the impact of China-US trade disputes on China＇s agriculture since April 2018 from both long-term and short-term perspectives. The results showed that： firstly, the China-US trade dispute will be long-term, systematic and complex; secondly, in the short term, domestic soybean price may rise in a period of time; thirdly, in the long run, this trade dispute has certain positive effects on China＇s agricultural development.
作者
韩一军
纪承名
Han Yijun;Ji Chengming(College of Economic and Management,China Agricultural Universit;Center for Agricultural Market,China Agricultural University,Beijing 10008)
出处
《农业展望》
2018年第10期85-88,共4页
Agricultural Outlook
基金
农业部农业农村资源监测国际农业研究体系(21178152)
关键词
中美贸易
农业
贸易争端
大豆
畜牧业
发展机遇
China-US trade
agriculture
trade dispute
soybean
husbandry industry
development opportunity
