摘要
本文利用中国工业企业数据库、产品层面的海关数据库和CEPII-BACI数据库,考察了出口复杂度对企业产出波动的影响及背后的驱动因素。研究结果表明:出口复杂度对企业产出波动有显著的负向影响,出口复杂度越高的企业产出波动越小,且对于不同特征的企业这一影响存在差异;出口复杂度主要通过人力资本因素抑制企业产出波动。本文的研究结论为中国经济新常态下"调结构、稳增长"的外贸战略提供了理论与实证的支持。
Not enough attention has been paid to the role of the fluctuation effect when studying the economic effect of export sophistication. Based on the highly disag- gregated firm data of Chinese manufacturing firms, the product-level trade data, and the CEPII-BACI database, this paper investigates the influence of export sophistication on firms＇ output fluctuations and the underlying driving factors. The study shows that export sophistication has a significant negative impact on firms＇ output fluctuation. The statistic re- sult also indicates that the higher the export sophistication is, the lower the output fluctua- tion is, while the results also differ in companies with different characteristics. Further- more, the study also reveals that the main driving factor that restrains the output fluctuation is the human capital intensity. As one of the key contributions, this paper pro- vides theoretical and empirical support for China＇s ＂stabilizing growth with structural ad- justment＂ foreign trade strategy.
作者
李小平
代智慧
彭书舟
LI Xiaoping;DAI Zhihui;PENG Shuzhou
出处
《国际贸易问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第11期45-58,共14页
Journal of International Trade
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"供给侧结构性改革背景下制造业出口质量提升对经济波动的影响研究"(17BJL013)
中南财经政法大学研究生教育创新计划项目"出口复杂度与经济波动--基于企业微观数据的实证分析"(2017-jjxy-bs-02)
关键词
出口复杂度
产出波动
人力资本
制造业
Export Sophistication
Output Fluctuation
Human Capital
Manufactur-ing Industry
