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基于动态统计的预测式外呼算法的设计与实现 被引量:3

Design and Realization of Predictive Outbound Algorithm Based on Dynamic Statistics
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摘要 针对目前预测式外呼算法存在的不足,提出了一种把预测式外呼算法分成预测算法和动态统计两个模块的方法,可以从两个模块方向进行优化,两个方向都有许多优化方案,避免了只优化算法出现的瓶颈问题。统计模块根据当前状态和历史数据选择各种统计策略进行统计,而不用考虑算法如何实现和对算法是否有用,还能根据算法建立的理论模型生成常用分布如指数分布、泊松分布、正态分布、卡方分布和伽马分布等的模拟随机数提供给算法使用。预测算法模块则基于排队论等理论模型提供了一种理论联系实际的高效算法,在提高坐席利用率的同时有效降低了电话呼损率。 Aiming at the shortcomings of current predictive outbound algorithm,this paper proposes an algorithmthat divides predictive outbound algorithm into two parts,predictive outbound algorithm and dynamic statistic.Thispaper provides optimal methods for both parts,avoiding the bottleneck caused by only optimizing one of them.Dynamicstatistics allows to employ various kinds of strategies according to the current state and historical data withoutconcern of how the algorithm is implemented or whether it??s useful,it can also generate random numbers in accordancewith common distributions,like exponential distribution,Poisson distribution,normal distribution,Chisquaredistribution and gamma distribution etc.,based on the theoretical model built by the algorithm.Predictive outboundalgorithm provides an effective link-theory-and-practice algorithm based on queuing theory model,increasingagent utilization and decreasing call lose rate at the same time.
作者 李刚 李佳 谢良哲 LI Gang;LEE Jia;XIE Liangzhe(College of Computer, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China;Chongqing Key Laboratory of Software Theory and Technology, Chongqing 400044, China)
出处 《计算机科学与探索》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第4期659-672,共14页 Journal of Frontiers of Computer Science and Technology
关键词 预测式外呼算法 动态统计 排队论 生灭过程 坐席利用率 电话呼损率 predictive outbound algorithm dynamic statistics queuing theory birth-and-death process agent utilization call lose rate
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