摘要
为中国农村土地制度改革及农民增收路径提供参考,采用空间计量经济学方法分析2000-2014年中国市域农民收入时空格局变化以及影响因素。结果表明:2000—2014年,中国地级市农村居民家庭纯收入整体上呈持续增长趋势,农村居民收入在地级市上存在较大的时空差异,农民人均纯收入较高的区域仍然集中在东部沿海地区,但有向中部扩散的趋势,区域农民收入差异仍然较大。全局空间自相关分析表明,农民人均收入表现出很强的空间正相关,在空间上呈明显的集聚格局;局部空间自相关分析表明,2000-2014年农民收入的空间集聚格局发生较大变化;空间回归分析表明,农业机械总动力、第一产业产值、城市化率对2000年和2014年农村居民人均收入都有显著正向影响,农村用电量对2000年农村居民收入有显著正向影响,而对2014年农村居民收入影响不显著。
To references for rural land system reform and farmers' income growth in China,spatial econometric method is employed to analyze the change of farmers' income structure and its influencing factors during 2000-2014.Results:During 2000-2014,net incomes of rural households in Chinese cities show an overall sustained growth trend,the income of rural residents has great spatio-temporal variation in prefecture-level city,farmers with high per capita net income are still concentrated in the eastern coastal areas,but there is a central diffusion trend,and regional farmers' income gap is still large.The global spatial autocorrelation shows that the per capita income of farmers has a strong positive spatial correlation,which shows obvious spatial agglomeration pattern.Local spatial autocorrelation analysis shows that the spatial pattern of farmers' income has changed greatly during 2000-2014.Spatial regression analysis shows that the total power of agricultural machinery,the first industry,city urbanization rate has significant positive effects on per capita income of rural residents in 2000 and 2014,rural power consumption has a significant positive effect on the income of rural residents in 2000 and had no significant positive effect in 2014.
出处
《贵州农业科学》
CAS
2017年第9期153-158,共6页
Guizhou Agricultural Sciences
关键词
农民收入
空间格局
空间计量分析
farmers' income
spatial pattern
spatial econometric analysis
