摘要
基于综合能源平衡表中终端能源消费数据,采用空间偏离份额模型,研究2007—2014年中国各省能源消费变动的原因。实证结果如下:(1)与2007年相比,在2014年,大部分省份三大产业的能源消费量增加。(2)基于空间偏离份额模型对各省三大产业能源消费变动的分解中,全国增长份额和产业结构转移份额均大于0,但是区域竞争力份额、空间竞争力净偏离分量和空间区位偏离分量可能大于0也可能小于0。另外,各省份全国增长份额、产业结构转移份额、区域竞争力份额、空间竞争力净偏离分量和空间区位偏离分量均存在较大差异。因此,应当尽量调整和优化能源结构,加大节能减排的推进力度,进一步提高能源利用效率,并且应当结合各省的实际情况制定节能政策。
Based on the data of terminal energy consumption in the comprehensive energy balance table,this paper studies the reasons of the change of energy consumption in China's provinces from 2007 to 2014 by using spatial shift-share model.The empirical results are as follows:(1)Compared with 2007,the energy consumption of the three major industries in most provinces in 2014 increased.(2)Based on the spatial shift-share model,the share of national growth and industrial structure transferring is greater than 0 in the decomposition of energy consumption of three major industries,but it's possible for the regional competitiveness share,the net spatial deviation of the spatial competitiveness and the deviation of the spatial location to be greater than or less than 0.In addition,there are significant differences in the share of national growth,the share of industrial structure transferring,the share of regional competitiveness,the net deviation of spatial competitiveness and the deviation of spatial location.Therefore,we should try to adjust and optimize the energy structure,promote energy conservation and emission reduction to greater extent in order to further improve energy efficiency,and should develop energy-saving policies according to the actural situation of different provinces.
作者
邓光耀
DENG Guang-yao(Center for Quantitative Analysis of Gansu Economic Development,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730020;School of Statistics,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730020,China)
出处
《兰州财经大学学报》
2018年第5期64-72,共9页
Journal of Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家自然科学青年基金项目(71704070)
教育部人文社会科学研究西部和边疆地区青年项目(17XJC790002)
甘肃省高等学校科研项目(2017B-41)
兰州财经大学丝绸之路经济研究院科研项目(JYYZ201603)
兰州财经大学科研项目(Lzufe201601)
关键词
空间偏离份额模型
能源消费
区域差异
spatial shift-share model
energy consumption
regional differences
