摘要
本文在总结西北煤炭产业取得成就、存在问题和分析发展环境的基础上,运用能源消费弹性系数法、主要耗煤行业法预测了全国煤炭需求,运用排产法确定了西北之外其他省区产量,进而提出西北煤炭发展空间,从煤炭生产、煤炭消费和煤炭外运以及淘汰报废、煤矿建设等方面对西北煤炭布局进行了详细研究。结果表明,西北煤炭开发潜力巨大但受市场约束,煤炭开发布局继续加速西部,西北是我国煤炭工业的未来,需要推动西北煤炭发展从数量速度型向质量效益型转变。
Based on summarizing the achievements,problems and analysis of the northwest coal industry development environment,this paper is used energy consumption elasticity coefficient method and the main consumption of coal industry method forecast the national coal demand,using the scheduling method to determine the other northwest provinces coal production output,thus put forward the spatial development of the northwest coal.After a detailed study of the western coal from the layout of coal production,coal consumption and coal transport and elimination,coal mine construction etc.The result shows that the northwest coal development potential but due to market constraints,coal development continues to accelerate the layout of the northwest,the northwest is the hope of coal industry in the future,need to promote the transformation of coal development from quantity speed to quality benefit type in northwest China.
作者
朱吉茂
李瑞峰
王雷
ZHU Jimao;LI Ruifeng;WANG Lei(Shenhua Institute of Science and Technology Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 102211,China)
出处
《中国矿业》
北大核心
2019年第1期41-46,共6页
China Mining Magazine
基金
国家重点研发计划项目资助(编号:2017YFC0404604)
中国工程院2016年第一批咨询研究项目资助(编号:2016-ZD-14-05)
关键词
西北地区
煤炭产业
发展空间
发展布局
northwest China
coal industry
development space
development layout