摘要
基于CEPII BACI数据库提供的2008—2016年HS-07-6位数国际贸易数据,利用相对贸易优势指数与双边贸易互补性系数,分别从整体层面与产品层面对全球10大竞技体育强国体育用品业的贸易优劣势与竞补性进行测度比较。在此基础上,利用线性回归,进一步探析影响中国与世界其他竞技体育强国体育用品业贸易优劣势,以及造成中国与世界其他竞技体育强国体育用品业贸易优劣势差距的因素决定。整体层面下,中国与意大利体育用品业在国际上具备贸易强优势,英国体育用品业具备贸易弱优势,法国、德国、日本、韩国和美国体育用品业具备贸易弱劣势,而澳大利亚和俄罗斯体育用品业则具备贸易劣势;产品层面下,中国体育用品业的贸易优势虽然明显,但各产品的贸易优势在考察期内不断下滑,其余9个国家体育用品业的贸易表现较差;无论是从整体层面来看还是从产品层面来看,不同时期中国与其他9个国家体育用品业的贸易竞补性关系均为不同,并且金融危机还会进一步加剧这种双边贸易关系的演变;人均GDP增长率对体育用品业的贸易优劣势及其差距具有抑制作用,工业增加值与外商直接投资对体育用品业的贸易优劣势及其差距具有促进作用,政府诚信对体育用品业的贸易优劣势具有抑制作用。
Based on the HS-07-6-digit international trade data from 2008 to 2016 provided by the CEPII BACI database,we used the relative trade advantage index and the bilateral trade complementarity coefficient to measure and compare the trade advantages and disadvantages,the trade competition and complementary of sports goods of the 10 main competitive sports country in the world from two levels of overall and product.Based on the above,We used linear regression to further analyze the factors that influence the trade advantages and disadvantages of China and other competitive sports powers in the world and the trade advantages and disadvantages between China and other competitive sports powerhouses in the world.At the overall level,sports goods in China and Italy are in a strong advantage position in the international trade,British sports goods are in a weak advantage position in the international trade,sports goods from France,Germany,Japan,South Korea,and the United States are in a weak disadvantages position in the international trade,sports goods in Australia and Russia are in a disadvantage in the international trade;At the product level,the trade advantage of China's sports goods industry is obvious,but it's trade advantage of each product has been declining during the inspection period and the trade performance of the other nine countries' sports goods industry is worse;Regardless of whether it is from a holistic perspective or a product perspective,China's trade competition with the rest of the nine countries is different in different periods,and the financial crisis will further exacerbate the evolution of this bilateral trade relationship;The growth rate of per capita GDP has an inhibitory effect on the advantages and disadvantages and on their diaparity,while industrial added value and foreign direct investment have a positive effect on the advantages and disadvantages and their diaparity,in addition,government integrity has an inhibitory effect on the advantages and disadvantages of sports goods trade.
作者
吴兆红
周坤
司增绰
WU Zhaohong;ZHOU Kun;SI Zengchuo(Institute of PE,Jiangsu Normal University,Xuzhou 221116,China;School of Business,Jiangsu Normal University,Xuzhou 221116,China)
出处
《天津体育学院学报》
CAS
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第6期537-545,共9页
Journal of Tianjin University of Sport
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(项目编号:18AZD008)
关键词
相对贸易优势指数
双边贸易互补性系数
体育用品业
体育竞技强国
relative trade advantage index
bilateral trade complementarity coefficient
sports goods industry
stronger competitive sports country
