摘要
我国现代物流业经历了漫长的成长期,即将迈入成熟期并进入蓄力转型、提质增效关键阶段。对当前我国物流业发展速度、需求与成本结构、运行质量进行分析不难发现,产业结构调整、发展方式转变、智慧供应链体系建设、消费升级等外生因素正持续推动物流服务质量提升,而人口红利逐渐消失、公路货运组织化程度偏低、仓储设施结构失衡、储运一体化运作不协调等问题严重阻碍物流业实现高质量发展,而技术创新将在我国物流业发展中产生重要引领作用。2011年以来,我国物流业增速明显放缓,但物流技术创新集中爆发,专利数量年均增速超过两位数。状态空间模型实证分析结果也表明,2011年以来物流技术创新能力提升对物流业运行质量改善贡献显著,平均来看,物流技术专利每增加一万项,物流业经营绩效提高0.79%,经济总量同比增长2.53%。因此,为更好地适应当前我国物流装备市场需求差异大、多层次需求并存、设备自动化智能化发展的大形势,推动我国物流业实现跨越式高质量发展,需要进一步加强物流主体信息处理能力,构建物流信息互联共享体系;加强智能装备制造,大力开发物流机器人;推动物流装备标准化、装载单元化,提升工具衔接、循环共用效率;依托信息技术重塑业务流程,提高仓储智能化作业与管理水平;创新物流业运营模式,政策鼓励业界先试先行。
China's modern logistics industry has gone through a long growth period,and it is about to enter a mature period,which is also a critical stage of transformation,quality improvement,and efficiency enhancement.Based on the analysis of the development speed,demand,cost structure and operation quality of China's logistics industry,the author finds that such external elements as industrial restructuring,changes in development pattern,the construction of smart supply chain system,and consumption upgrading is continuously promoting the improvement of logistic quality;while the diminishing demographic dividend,the low organizational degree of road freight,the imbalanced structure of storage infrastructure,and not coordinated international operation of storage and transportation is hindering the high quality development of logistics industry;and technological innovation will play its leading role in promoting the development of China’s logistics industry.Since 2011,the growth rate of China's logistics industry has slowed down obviously,but this period is also a concentrated outbreak of logistics technology innovation.Empirical analysis based on the state space model shows that the improvement of logistics technological innovation ability after 2011 contributes significantly to the improvement of logistics operation quality.To better promote the high quality development of China’s logistics industry,we should,first,further strengthen the capability for information processing,and construct the connective and sharing system of logistic information;second,we should strengthen the manufacturing of smart equipment,and pay more attention to the development of logistic robot;third,we should promote the connectivity of tools and equipment,and improve the efficiency of sharing;fourth,we should rebuild business process,and improve the level of storage smart operation and management;and fifth,we should make innovation in operational patten,and encourage the pilot project.
作者
杨守德
YANG Shou-de(Harbin University of Commerce,Harbin,Heilongjiang 150028,China)
出处
《中国流通经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第3期62-70,共9页
China Business and Market
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"马克思流通理论创新与我国商贸流通效率变革的实现机制及政策研究"(18BJY174)
关键词
技术创新
物流业
运行质量
状态空间模型
technological innovation
logistics industry
operational quality
state space model
