摘要
为研究经济新常态下物流产业发展与产业结构之间的关系,以广东省为例,选取2000-2017年间的物流产业总产值、物流产业固定投资、货运周转量以及产业结构优化升级为研究指标,建立向量自回归VAR模型进行实证研究。研究结果表明,物流产业与区域产业结构优化升级之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,且具有相互促进的关系。在经济新常态背景下大力发展物流产业,加大物流固定资产投资,有利于产业结构优化升级。
In order to study the relationship between the development of the logistics industry and the industrial structure under the new normal economy,taking Guangdong Province as an example,the total output value of the logistics industry,fixed investment in the logistics industry,freight turnover,and the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure during the period 2000-2017 were selected as research indicators.The VAR model of vector autoregression was established for empirical study.The research results show that there is a long-term stable and balanced relationship between logistics industry and regional industrial structure optimization and upgrading,and it has a mutually reinforcing relationship.Under the background of the"new normal"economy,the logistics industry is vigorously developed,and the increase of logistics fixed assets investment is conducive to the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure.
作者
方艳
FANG Yan(School of Business Administration,Heyuan Polytechnic,Heyuan,Guangdong 517000,China)
出处
《山东商业职业技术学院学报》
2019年第1期9-14,共6页
Journal of Shandong Institute of Commerce and Technology
基金
中国物流学会
中国物流与采购联合会研究课题计划"新常态下物流产业与区域产业结构互动关系研究--以广东省为例"(2017CSLK3-122)
