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“治安官”抑或“铁腕强人”?——外部压力视角下的印度海洋战略转型 被引量:3

Constable or Strongman? Transformation of India's Maritime Strategy from the Perspective of External Pressure
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摘要 印度海洋战略转型固然基于海军规模的扩大和军事能力的提高,但同样也受制于印度所处的国际政治环境。作为地区大国,全球体系环境和南亚地区环境都给印度海洋战略转型带来外部压力,与体系顶层国家的关系以及印巴关系是这种外部压力影响其海洋战略演进的主要变量。在这种双重压力下,印度采取何种海洋战略以及如何使用海上力量被大致地框定在一个区间。"从区域到远洋、从防御到威慑"是大部分国家海洋战略演进的模式,但受制于外部压力,立志于主导印度洋的印度暂且没有条件推行远洋威慑战略,主要还是在北印度洋地区维持区域威慑的同时,防止域外大国干涉印度洋事务。海洋是全体人类的共同财富,为积极参与构建自由、开放、包容、和平的印度洋秩序,中国应明确反对任何单一国家主导印度洋。 Obviously,the transformation of India’s maritime strategy is based on the expansion of its navy and military capabilities,while it is also constrained by the international political environment. As a regional power,both the global environment and the south Asian regional environment have brought external pressure to the transformation of India’s Maritime strategy. The relationship with countries at the top of the system and the India-Pakistan relationship are the main variables that affect the evolution of India’s Maritime strategy. Under this dual pressure,India’s maritime strategy and how to use its maritime power are framed within certain range. The evolution of the most countries’ maritime strategy followed the mode that from region to far-ocean and from defense to deterrence. India,which is determined to dominate the Indian Ocean,is not in a position to implement the far-ocean deterrence strategy because of the external pressure. However,India can maintain regional deterrence in the northern Indian Ocean and prevent external powers from interfering in Indian Ocean affairs. The ocean is the common wealth of all mankind. To actively participate in building a free,open,inclusive and peaceful order in the Indian Ocean,China should clearly oppose any single country dominating the Indian Ocean.
作者 李家胜 Li Jiasheng
出处 《印度洋经济体研究》 CSSCI 2019年第1期1-26,138,共27页 Indian Ocean Economic and Political Review
基金 "印度洋海权竞争与中国海洋强国战略研究"项目的阶段性成果 西安交通大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助
关键词 海洋战略 印度洋 中印关系 外部压力 Maritime Strategy Indian Ocean Sino-Indian Relations External Pressure
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