摘要
利用2015及2016年东北、内蒙古国有林区411户职工家庭的跟踪调查数据,运用绝对收入流动性指标、马尔科夫链转移概率矩阵和普通最小二乘法(OLS)实证分析了森林抚育补贴政策对职工家庭收入流动性的影响。研究结果表明:国有林区职工家庭对森林抚育的参与程度处于较低水平;森林抚育补贴政策对职工家庭收入流动性的影响并不显著,但对高收入组产生了一定的积极影响;作为政策目标受益群体的低收入职工家庭,其收入水平并未因森林抚育补贴政策的实行而向上流动。
⑴ Background-- Forest tending subsidy policy is an effective way to increase the income of workers.The existing researches mainly focus on the qualitative analysis of forestry policies and the use of cross-sectional data to analyze the income of forestry workers.However,researches on the impact of forestry subsidy policies on the income of worker households from the perspective of income mobility are few.⑵ Methods-- Based on the tracking survey data of 411 worker households in the state-owned forest areas of Northeast and Inner Mongolia in 2016 and 2017,this paper empirically analyzed the influence of forest support subsidy policies on the income mobility of worker households by using Field and OK s absolute income mobility indicators,Markov Transition Probability Matrix and OLS method.⑶ Results-- First,according to the absolute income mobility indicators and the income transfer matrix of all samples,it can be found that the relative income mobility of the worker households in the state-owned forest areas of Northeast and Inner Mongolia is extremely strong.Second,by comparing the income transfer matrix of worker households who did not participate in forest tending in 2016,it can be seen that participating in forest tending can keep more households from high-income group remain in this group,which shows that forest tending subsidy policy has a positive impact on households from high-income group.However,the forest tending subsidy policy does not help low-income households to move upward,but instead causes them to stay more in their group and also reduces their probability of moving to high-income and middle-income groups.Third,the results of regression analysis show that: First of all,on the whole,the forestry tending subsidy income has no significant impact on the logarithm change of per capita income of worker households.Secondly,from the perspective of high-income group,forestry tending subsidy income has a significant and positive impact on the logarithm change of per capita income of worker households.It can be seen that participation in forest tending subsidy has a certain positive impact on the income increase of households from high-income group.At last,from the perspective of middle-income and low-income groups,the regression coefficient of forest tending subsidy income is negative,but this result has not passed the significance test.⑷ Conclusions and Discussions-- Although the absolute income of households from middle-income and low-income groups concerned by the forest tending subsidy policy has been greatly improved within one year,the upward mobility of households from middle-income and low-income groups has not been significantly enhanced by participating in forest tending.Low participation and low subsidy income have caused a deviation between the final result of the implementation of forest tending subsidy policy and the original purpose.Therefore,the support objects of forest tending subsidy policy need to be more targeted,and the forest tending subsidy policy should preferentially benefit those households with low-income and poor income mobility.It is worth noting that increasing the amount of subsidy is the key to solving the problem.If it can be achieved,it can help low-income households to raise their income more accurately and increase their chances of upward mobility.However,due to the limitation of financial funds,it is not realistic to substantially increase the amount of subsidy and it is not feasible to rely on people to pay for the ecological functions provided by forests at this stage.Therefore,it is also difficult to increase subsidy expenditure.Only by this policy to improve the income mobility of households in forest areas still has great limitations.
作者
赵文铖
张晓蕾
宋志杰
马文瑾
宿昕
朱可欣
朱洪革
ZHAO Wencheng;ZHANG Xiaolei;SONG Zhijie;MA Wenjin;SU Xin;ZHU Kexin;ZHU Hongge(College of Economics and Management,Northeast Forestry University,Harbin 150040 China)
出处
《林业经济问题》
北大核心
2019年第3期280-285,共6页
Issues of Forestry Economics
基金
东北林业大学大学生创新训练项目(201810225093)
全国统计科学研究项目(2016LY31)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(2572015EC04)
关键词
森林抚育补贴
国有林区
收入流动
forest tending subsidy
state-owned forest areas
income mobility
