摘要
针对2012-2016年全国水资源现状分析和发展预测,运用综合评价、多元线性回归等方法,构建了水资源开发利用综合评价、多元线性回归等模型,综合运用MATLAB、STATA等软件求解,得出我国水资源开发利用现状和目标偏差,发现不同省份的万元GDP用水量、耕地实际灌溉亩均用水量和万元工业增加值用水量存在的内在规律,以此预测未来我国水资源的发展趋势,并结合分析结果针对我国水利发展给出相关建议.
According to the analysis and development forecast of China's water resources, the comprehensive evaluation and multiple linear regression methods were used to construct a comprehensive evaluation of water resources development and utilization, multiple linear regression and other models, and the software was solved by using Matlab and State. Using the current situation and target deviation, we find the inherent law of the water consumption per 10 000 yuan of GDP, the actual water consumption per mu of cultivated land, and the water consumption per 10 000 yuan of industrial added value, so as to predict the development trend of China's water resources in the future, and analyze The results give relevant suggestions for China's water conservancy development.
作者
荀梓莹
朱家明
陈倩
XUN Zi-ying;ZHU Jia-ming;CHEN Qian(School of Finance,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233030,China;College of Statistics and Applied Mathematics,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233030,China;School of Economics,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233030,China)
出处
《淮阴师范学院学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2019年第2期104-109,共6页
Journal of Huaiyin Teachers College;Natural Science Edition
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(11601001)
安徽省高等学校省级重点教学研究项目(2018jyxm1305)
关键词
水资源
综合评价
发展预测
water resources
comprehensive evaluation
development forecast
