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基于WBS-RBS与AHP的混凝土——模板支撑工程风险研究 被引量:4

A Study of Risk in Concrete-formwork Supporting Projects Based on WBS-RBS and AHP
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摘要 为管理者对工程风险认知与控制提供有价值的参考,对混凝土-模板支撑工程展开风险分析。采用WBS-RBS法进行风险辨识,辨识出工作中可能存在的风险因素,并与AHP法相结合确定风险权重指数,再根据风险度理论评定风险因素重要程度。结果表明基本工作包中模板搭设安装和混凝土浇筑总风险度较大,需要重点关注,加强管理制定应急预案。施工作业中拆模时间过短、人为过失、未按浇筑顺序施工等3种风险因素较为重要,应着重加强防范。采用有效的风险分析方法有助于管理人员得知关键风险因素,并针对性提出应对措施减小安全事故的发生。 Risk analysis is carried out for formwork supporting projects to provide objective reference for managers to understand and control corresponding risks. The WBS-RBS method is used to identify risk factors that may emerge during the construction work. The weight index of each risk is determined based on AHP method. Then,the importance of risk factors is evaluated according to the risk degree theory. The results show that the total risks related to formwork erection and concrete pouring in the basic work package is relatively high,which should draw more attention. The management strategies should be strengthened to formulate emergency plans. Three risk factors including short demolition time,human error,and incorrect casting sequence during the construction work are more important than others. Focuses should be placed on strengthening prevention measures. Effective risk analysis method can help managers to identify the key risk factors and put forward corresponding measures to reduce the occurrence of safety accidents.
作者 陆征然 张茂胜 郭超 王倩倩 LU Zheng-ran;ZHANG Mao-sheng;GUO Chao;WANG Qian-qian(School of Management, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang 110168, China;School of Civil Engineering, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang 110168, China)
出处 《工程管理学报》 2019年第3期127-132,共6页 Journal of Engineering Management
基金 国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(51308255) 辽宁省科技厅项目(20180550442) 沈阳建筑大学基础学科基金项目(CXPY2017017)
关键词 工作分解树-风险分解树(WBS-RBS) 层次分析法(AHP) 风险度 work breakdown structure-risk breakdown structure(WBS-RBS) analytic hierarchy process(AHP) risk degree
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