摘要
对电力需求准确评估,是电力工业发展方向和速度的重要参考,预测的准确与否,关乎到电力行业的平稳发展以及国民经济的可持续发展。针对北京市电力需求,文章采用了协整分析和情景分析结合的研究方法,结合二者优点,得到北京市未来的电力需求预测结果。
Accurate assessment of power demand is an important reference for the development direction and speed of the power industry. The accuracy of the forecast is related to the steady development of the power industry and the sustainable development of the national economy. In view of the power demand in Beijing, this paper adopts a combination of co-integration analysis and scenario analysis, and combines the advantages of both to obtain the future power demand forecast results of Beijing.
作者
闫宁
YAN Ning(North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China)
出处
《价值工程》
2019年第23期66-68,共3页
Value Engineering
关键词
协整
情景分析
电力需求预测
cointegration
scenario analysis
electricity demand forecast
