摘要
扩展Alvarez-Cuadrado-Poschke模型,建立起区位-就业格局模型,揭示财政对就业格局的诱导机理,并实证分解诱导效应,给出诱导策略。结果表明:财政在社会保障、农林水务、文体传媒、教育等方面的支出,会诱导省内短期就近聚集、长期层级聚集和省际回流聚集;交通运输会诱导省内层级聚集与省际回流聚集;医疗卫生、环境保护、科技支出会诱导省内短期层级聚集、长期就近聚集和省际层级聚集。为此,应采取财政支出偏向策略以诱导平衡就业格局的重建。
The Alvarez-Cuadrado-Poschke model is extended to a Location-Employment Structure Model to reveal the induction mechanism, and the induction effect is decomposed to find out the induction strategy. The results show that the fiscal expenditure on social security, agriculture-forestry and water, sports media, and education induces the province short-term near aggregation, long-term level aggregation and inter provincial reflux aggregation, the transportation expenditure induces the province level aggregation and the inter provincial reflux aggregation, and the medical and health, environmental protection, scientific and technological expenditure induces the province short-term level aggregation, long-term near aggregation and inter provincial level aggregation. In this regard, the fiscal bias strategy should be adopted to induce the reconstruction of the balanced employment pattern.
作者
马荣
殷李松
聂影
MA Rong;YIN LiSong;NIE Ying(Nanjing Forest University, Nanjing 210037;Huaibei Normal University, Huaibei 235000;Jinling Institute of Technology, Nanjing 211169)
出处
《财贸研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第8期1-15,共15页
Finance and Trade Research
基金
安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目“安徽省县域经济空间格局与互联研究”(AHSKY2016D104)
安徽省教育厅人文社科重点研究基地重点项目“供给侧结构性改革背景下皖北区域经济发展与产业升级研究”(SK2017A0353)
安徽省高校人文社科重点项目“安徽省外贸发展与区域经济差异研究”(SK2016A0808)
关键词
财政支出
就业诱导
就业聚集
fiscal expenditure
employment induction
employment aggregation
