摘要
人民币国际化取得积极进展,已经成为重塑世界地缘关系的重要影响因素。文章从人民币货币互换协议、人民币境外清算中心设立和人民币合格境外机构投资者三个方面刻画了人民币国际化的时空格局,进而构建了包括地理、经济、政治和文化等方面的地缘关系距离指标体系,从地缘关系的综合视角对人民币国际化的伙伴经济体进行聚类分析。结果表明:①人民币国际化显现出一定的路径扩张规律,以东亚发达国家和地区为首要拓展空间,逐渐向欧洲发达国家、周边发展中国家和地区扩张,并且在各大洲建立人民币国际化伙伴网络中的关键支点;②聚类分析识别出高参与度、中等参与度和低参与度三类国家,以及作为独特类别的美国,聚类结果有助于我们理解地缘关系如何影响其他国家参与人民币国际化。
The internationalisation of the Renminbi(RMB)has become an important factor in reshaping the world’s political and economic geography.This paper illustrates the temporal and spatial pattern of RMB internationalisation based on the Renminbi currency swap policy,settlement of RMB offshore clearing centre and RQFII(RMB qualified foreign institutional investors)regulation.This research constructs geo-relation indices including geographical distance,economic distance,political distance and cultural distance to do the cluster analysis.It found that:1)RMB internationalisation has shown a certain path-expansion pattern.First,more developed economies of East Asia were chosen as the primary partners in RMB internationalisation.Second,more developed countries in Europe and surrounding developing countries joined the club.Finally,other countries from the rest part of the globe participated in RMB internationalisation.2)Countries involved in RMB internationalisation can be largely classified into four categories:high,medium and low level participating countries,and the US as a unique category.The results could shed some lights on how geo-relations can influence the path and pattern of RMB internationalisation.
作者
徐珊
潘峰华
曾贝妮
葛岳静
宋长青
XU Shan;PAN Fenghua;ZENG Beini;GE Yuejing;SONG Changqing(Faculty of Geographical Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;School of Architecture and Urban Planning,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China)
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第8期1-11,共11页
Economic Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41871157)
关键词
地缘关系
人民币国际化
国际货币体系
离岸市场
国家距离
聚类分析“
一带一路”倡议
geo-relation
RMB internationalisation
international monetary system
offshore market
national distance
cluster analysis
the Belt and Road Initiative