摘要
本文在理论分析财政分权影响产业结构升级机理基础上,利用我国30个省份2006~2017年的面板数据,实证分析财政分权与产业结构升级之间的关系。结果显示:财政分权能够显著促进产业结构升级;在区域层面出现异质性,西部地区财政分权能够促进产业结构升级,东部地区的作用不显著,而中部地区则为抑制作用。在此基础上,采用门限模型分析发现,财政分权与产业结构升级之间存在倒“U”型的非线性关系,当财政分权低于0.7332时,财政分权显著促进产业结构升级,而高于此门限值时则为抑制作用。因此,应动态调整财政分权水平,对东、中、西部采取差异化财政分权政策,以更好地促进产业结构升级。
Based on the theory of fiscal decentralization influencing on the upgrading of the industrial structure,using the panel data from 2006 to 2017of 30 provinces in China,this paper empirically analyzes the relationship between fiscal decentralization and industrial structure. The results show that fiscal decentralization can significantly promote the upgrading of industrial structure on the national level,but more complex on the regional level. Fiscal decentralization can upgrade industrial structure in western regions in China but restrain the upgrading of industrial structure in central regions and show no significant effect in eastern regions. The panel threshold regression model results show that the “U” type relationship between fiscal decentralization and industrial structure. To be more specific,when fiscal decentralization level is lower than 0.7332,it can promote the upgrading of industrial structure and will inhibit the upgrading of industrial structure if this value is exceeded. In light of this,we should dynamically adjust fiscal decentralization level of the eastern,central and western regions so as to adopt differentiated fiscal policies to better promote the upgrading of industrial structure.
作者
黄琼
李光龙
HUANG Qiong;LI Guang-long(Editorial Office of Journal,Anhui University,Hefei 230039,China;School of Economics,Anhui University,Hefei 230039,China)
出处
《经济体制改革》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第5期129-135,共7页
Reform of Economic System
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目“生产性服务业发展与中国全球价值链战略地位提升研究”(14BGL012)
关键词
财政分权
产业结构升级
门限回归
financial decentralization
upgrading industrial structure
threshold effect
