摘要
基于实证主义研究范式,利用标准差、加权变异系数、赫芬达尔指数等数理分析方法以及借助ArcGIS软件刻画非洲入境旅游空间分布情况和构建非洲入境旅游重心模型,从时间和空间2个维度分析非洲入境旅游经济的区域差异情况。结果显示:从时间序列上看,2005-2016年间非洲入境旅游经济区域差异整体上呈现逐步收敛的态势,但区域之间发展依然不平衡。从空间分布上看,非洲区域入境旅游经济表现出明显的地位差异性和空间聚集性特征,但空间区域差异逐渐弱化。研究期内非洲东部和部分岛屿国家入境旅游发展提升明显,而大多数撒哈拉以南非洲国家是入境旅游的薄弱聚集区。非洲入境旅游重心的演变大致经历了2个阶段,在2005-2010年间,非洲入境旅游重心逐渐靠近非洲大陆地理重心,说明非洲入境旅游趋于均衡发展;在2011-2016年间折返向东南迁移,表明东、南部非洲旅游地吸引力增大、入境旅游经济发展向好。
Based on the positivist research paradigm and the research on regional economic differences in tourism, this paper analyzed the spatio-temporal trend structure of inbound tourism development level in Africa from 2005-2016 by the methods of Standard Deviation, Weighted Coefficient of Variation, Herfindahl Index and Gravity Centre Model. The result shows that from 2005 to 2016 the absolute and relative disparities in the inbound tourism economy of Africa tended to reduce,but the development between regions was still unbalanced. The inbound tourism economy in the African region shows obvious status differences and spatial clustering characteristics, though the spatial regional differences are gradually weakened. The evolution of the gravity centre of inbound tourism in Africa has gone through two stages. From 2005 to 2016 the gravity centre of inbound tourism in Africa gradually approached the geographical center of gravity of the African continent, indicating that Africa’s inbound tourism tends to be balanced. During the period of 2011-2016, it turned back to the southeast, which shows that the attraction of eastern and southern Africa has increased and the economic development of inbound tourism has improved.
作者
罗莹
刘柄麟
张振克
房俊晗
王鑫
LUO Ying;LIU Binglin;ZHANG Zhenke;FANG Junhan;WANG Xin(School of Geographic and Oceanographic Science,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210023,China;Center of African Studies,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210023,China;The Collaborative Innovation Center of South China Sea Studies at Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China)
出处
《亚热带资源与环境学报》
2019年第3期68-78,共11页
Journal of Subtropical Resources and Environment
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41371024)
外交部中非联合交流计划(No.KT201510)
南京大学人文社科建设及国际伙伴计划非洲研究专项资助
关键词
入境旅游
区域差异
时空分异
非洲
Inbound tourism
Regional tourism disparity
Trend of spatio-temporal change
Africa
