摘要
为从宏观上把握中国应急避难场所的现状,收集了中国338个地级及以上城市(不含香港、澳门和台湾)应急避难场所的数据,建立中国应急避难场所数据库,通过对数据库中的指标进行定性描述统计,分析了中国应急避难场所现存问题,并运用最小二乘线性(OLS)回归方法探求诱发当前问题的显著影响因素。通过描述性统计发现,中国应急避难场所存在“重建设,轻宣传”“重体量,轻标准”“差异大,布局不均”“重指标,轻实效”等问题,通过回归分析发现,应主要从“城市经济水平”和“政策严格程度”两个指标着手改善中国应急避难场所现状,响应城市安全观与总体国家安全观的发展理念。
This paper studies the current state of the emergency shelters in China from a macro perspective,by collecting data of 338 emergency shelters in cities at or above the prefectural level(excluding Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan),and establishing a database of emergency shelters in China,focusing on the existing problems of the emergency shelters in China through the qualitative description and the statistics of the indicators in the database,with the OLS regression method to explore the significant influencing factors.Through the descriptive statistics,it is found that there are many problems in the emergency shelters in China:"over focus on construction,with little publicity","the big volume,but low standard","the large difference,the uneven distribution",and"focusing on target,slighting actual effect".Through the regression analysis,it is found that from the current state of the emergency shelters in China,many things should be improved,mainly from the two indicators of"the urban economic level"and"the policy strictness",so as to respond to the Urban Safety concept and the National Safety concept.
作者
李玟玟
王媛
陈安
陈晶睿
LI Wenwen;WANG Yuan;CHEN An;CHEN Jingrui(Sino-Danish College,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China;School of Emergency Management,Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454000,China;Institute of Science and Development,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China)
出处
《科技导报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第16期38-47,共10页
Science & Technology Review
基金
北京市自然科学基金项目(9182017)
中国地震局发展研究中心合作项目(Y802701901)
北京市科学技术研究院合作项目(PXM2018_178304_000010)
关键词
应急避难场所
城市安全
防灾减灾
emergency shelter
urban security
disaster prevention and reduction
