摘要
针对传统目标威胁评估方法对威胁目标连续运动信息应用不足的问题,提出了基于潜在威胁分析的近岸目标威胁评估模型。建立了近岸目标威胁评估指标体系,结合层次分析法和熵权法综合求出指标权重,实时利用目标参数得到目标运动趋势和潜在威胁,进而修正目标威胁度,达到海上威胁预警的目的。仿真试验表明了该方法的有效性,能够较好地兼顾主观经验和客观数据,并充分应用目标实时运动信息分析其潜在威胁,使得评估结果更加准确合理。
Aiming at the problem that the traditional target threat assessment method is insufficient for the continuous motion information of threat targets,a near shore target threat assessment model based on potential threat analysis is proposed.The paper establishes the near shore target threat assessment index system,combines the analytic hierarchy process and the en tropy weight method to obtain the index weights,and uses the target parameters to obtain the target motion trends and poten tial threats in real time,and then correct the target threat degree to achieve the purpose of maritime threat early warning.The simulation experiment shows that the method is effective,and it can better balance the subjective experience and objective data,and fully apply the target real time motion information to analyze its potential threats,making the evaluation results more accurate and reasonable.
作者
黄钦龙
刘忠
夏家伟
HUANG Qin-long;LIU Zhong;XIA Jia-wei(Hubei Naval University of Engineering,Wuhan 430000,China)
出处
《指挥控制与仿真》
2019年第5期21-26,共6页
Command Control & Simulation
关键词
威胁评估
层次分析法
熵权法
潜在威胁
threat assessment
AHP
entropy weight method
potential threat
