摘要
选取2007年-2017年中国对中巴经济走廊沿线8个国家纺织服装出口数据,采用随机前沿引力模型分别测算中国对中巴经济走廊沿线国家纺织品和服装出口贸易效率及潜力。结果显示:双边GDP、边界对纺织品和服装贸易均起正向促进作用,人均收入差额是抑制纺织品和服装贸易的主要因素,而人口变量负向作用于纺织品贸易,正向促进服装贸易;中国对走廊沿线国家纺织品和服装贸易效率均值在0.30-0.40之间波动;未来中国纺织业最具出口潜力的市场集中在印度、巴基斯坦和阿富汗。中国纺织业出口应从边界优势出发,进一步释放中国对走廊沿线国家的贸易潜力。
Based on the data of China’s textile and garment export to eight countries along the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor from 2007 to 2017, the trade efficiency and potential of China’s textile and garment export to the countries along the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor are estimated respectively through stochastic frontier gravity model. The results show that bilateral GDP and borders play a positive role in promoting textile and garment trade, while the per capital income difference is the main factor that inhibits textile and garment trade.The population variables negatively affect the textile trade, but positively promote the garment trade. The average trade efficiency of China’s textile and garment with the countries along the corridor fluctuates between 0.30 and 0.40. The market with the most export potential of China’s textile industry is concentrated in India, Pakistan and Afghanistan. China’s textile industry exports should proceed from the border advantage and further release China’s trade potential with countries along the corridor.
作者
张立杰
张亚飞
ZHANG Li-jie;ZHANG Ya-fei(College of Textile and Clothing,Xinjiang University,Urumqi Xinjiang 830046;College of Economics and Management,Xinjiang University,Urumqi Xinjiang 830049)
出处
《价格月刊》
北大核心
2019年第11期25-31,共7页
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“棉花国家储备最优规模及吸储抛储优化研究”(编号：71363052)
新疆自治区软科学项目“新疆纺织服装产业可持续发展研究”(编号：2018D07018)
关键词
中美贸易
中巴经济走廊
纺织服装
贸易效率
贸易潜力
Sino—US trade
China—Pakistan Economic Corridor
textile and garment
trade efficiency
trade potential
