摘要
系统动力学擅于分析复杂系统内部因果反馈关系和仿真模拟系统动态行为发展趋势的特征,使其在水文水资源研究领域的应用愈加普遍。归纳梳理系统动力学法在水文水资源领域的实际应用状况,以勾勒出其方法与模型应用的轮廓。首先简要介绍系统动力学方法的特点及发展历程,然后评述了系统动力学方法在水文水资源领域的研究与应用进展,以及应用特征和适用性;最后从扩大研究范围和尺度、注重方法与学科交叉研究以及融合智慧水利理念等角度,展望了系统动力学方法在水科学领域的发展趋势。
The system dynamics is used for analyzing the internal causal feedback relationship of complex systems and simulating the development trend of dynamic behavior, which is more and more popular in the field of hydrology and water resources research. The practical application of carding system dynamics in the field of hydrology and water resources is reviewed in order to outline the method and model application. This paper first briefly introduces the characteristics and developments process of the system dynamics method, and then reviews the research and application progress of the system dynamics method in the field of hydrology and water resources, as well as the application characteristics and wide applicability;finally, from the perspective of expanding the scope and scale of research, focusing on the intersection of methods and disciplines, and integrating the concept of smart water conservancy, the development trend of system dynamics in the field of water science prospects.
作者
吉久伟
方红远
纪静怡
Jiuwei Ji;Hongyuan Fang;Jingyi Ji(College of Hydraulic,Energy and Power Engineering,Yangzhou University,Yangzhou Jiangsu)
出处
《水资源研究》
2019年第5期523-533,共11页
Journal of Water Resources Research
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(51379181)
江苏高校优势学科建设工程三期项目(2018~2021)建设学科基金
