摘要
研究目标:评估退耕还林工程的精准扶贫效果。研究方法:采用倾向得分匹配法、双重差分法和回归分解法对该问题进行研究。研究发现:退耕还林贫困瞄准效率较低,瞄准率为44%和有效覆盖率为8%;工程贫困户瞄准受到多种因素影响;工程显著地降低了农户贫困发生概率,脱贫效果明显,但存在显著地脱贫年份和区域差异,区域脱贫效果大小依次为西部地区、长江流域、黄河流域和东部地区,中部地区脱贫不显著;退耕还林脱贫贡献小,且存在区域性差异。研究创新:基于生态文明和精准扶贫视角,在分析了工程精准扶贫机制基础上,利用17年农户追踪数据系统地评估了工程瞄准效果、扶贫效果及贡献率。研究价值:为退耕还林精准扶贫政策提供量化分析。
Research Objectives:To evaluate the effect of precision poverty alleviation by Sloping Land Conversion Program.Research Methods:Propensity score matching method,double difference method and regression decomposition method were used to study the problem.Research Findings:The results show that the poverty targeting efficiency of Sloping Land Conversion Program is low,with a targeting rate of 44%and an effective coverage rate of 8%.The targeting of poor households in projects is affected by many factors.The project significantly reduces the probability of poverty occurrence and has a significant effect on poverty alleviation,but there are significant time and regional differences in poverty alleviation.The regional poverty alleviation effect is in turn in the western region,the Yangtze River Basin,the Yellow River Basin and the east region.In the central part of the region,poverty alleviation has not been achieved;the contribution of returning farmland to forestry to poverty alleviation is small,and there are regional differences.Research Innovations:Based on the perspective of ecological civilization and precise poverty alleviation,the precise poverty alleviation mechanism of the project was analyzed,and the project targeting effect,poverty alleviation effect and contribution rate were systematically evaluated using 17-year farmer household tracking data.Research Value:To provide quantitative analysis for precise poverty alleviation policy of returning farmland to forestry.
作者
杨均华
刘璨
李桦
Yang Junhua;Liu Can;Li Hua(School of Economics and Management,Northwest A&F University;China National Forestry and Grassland,Economics and Development Research Center)
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第12期64-86,共23页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目“改革开放40年来我国集体林产权制度改革及相关林业政策对农户林业生产要素配置及其收入影响研究——基于多层次长期大样本动态路径”(71873043)
国家自然科学基金面上项目“林业重点工程对农户收入与消除贫困影响实证研究与分析——基于长期大农户样本收入增长、分配和流动视角”(71273071)
国家自然科学基金面上项目“1978年以来集体林权制度改革及相关林业政策对森林资源与木材供给的影响研究——基于长期大样本动态效率视角”(71673066)
国家林业与草原局林业公益性行业科研专项“退耕还林工程监测、评估与优化技术”(201504424-02)
陕西省软科学项目“退耕还林工程可持续性背景下黄土高原不同退耕规模农户收入增长及其差异的影响研究”(2016kRM068)的资助
关键词
退耕还林
生态文明
精准扶贫
农户
脱贫效果
Sloping Land Conversion Program
Ecological Civilization
Targeted Poverty Alleviation
Rural Household
Poverty Relief Effect
