摘要
基于指标体系的建模和分析是目前防震减灾能力评估中应用最广泛的方法。首先分析评价不同学者的防震减灾能力评估指标体系;在此基础上,选取应用最为广泛、评价数据容易规范获取的指标因子,进行德尔菲法筛选后,利用层次分析法计算指标因子权重,给出适合市县部门快速开展防震减灾能力评估的模型,并以嘉兴市为例给出防震减灾能力的评估结果。
At present,modeling and analysis based on an index system are widely used to assess and analyze earthquake disaster prevention and reduction abilities.In this paper,various index system for earthquake prevention and reduction ability assessment are compared and analyzed.On this basis,the index factors which are the most widely used and easily obtained are selected.Then,the paper use Delphi survey and AHP method to determine the weight of each index,provide a model suitable for cities and counties to quickly carry out assessments of earthquake prevention and disaster reduction capabilities,and give the evaluation results of Jiaxing's earthquake prevention and disaster reduction ability.
作者
侯林锋
周新民
陈涛
李敏
陆吉赟
HOU Linfeng;ZHOU Xinmin;CHEN Tao;LI Min;LU Jiyun(Zhejiang Earthquake Agency,Hangzhou 310013,China)
出处
《华南地震》
2019年第4期10-18,共9页
South China Journal of Seismology
基金
浙江省科技计划项目（地震灾害风险监测与评估技术应用2018C03045）
浙江省地震局局科技项目（嘉兴市防震减灾能力评估指标体系研究2018zjj06)
关键词
防震减灾能力
指标体系
德尔菲法
层次分析法
Earthquake disaster prevention and reduction ability
Index system
Delphi survey
Analytic Hierarchy Process
