摘要
21世纪以来,中日关系经历了"恶化与改善"的循环,历史与领土问题是其直接原因,而日本的认知逻辑与国内舆论演变则是其背后的深层原因。中日关系于2018年重回正常发展轨道,是由日本的立场从"竞争"转向"协调",中国主动引领和积极塑造对日外交以及美国特朗普政府的"助推"等多个因素造成的。展望未来,中日关系短期内仍会延续改善势头。但长期来看,在中日结构性矛盾突出,历史、领土等问题依旧存在,日本外交选择波动及对华民意基础薄弱等因素的制约下,中日关系走出"恶化与改善"的循环仍不容乐观。
Since the 21 st century,historical and territorial issues have haunted China-Japan relations,and Japan’s logic and public opinion evolution are inherent causes of the bilateral ties’ evolution. The normalization of bilateral ties in 2018 is the result of multiple factors. Japan was more coordinative,China was positively shaping the diplomacy toward Japan and the Trump administration also played a uniqle role. In the near future,the relations will witness more improvement,but in the long run,the ties continue to be at risk due to structural contradictions.
出处
《现代国际关系》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第12期1-8,22,60,共10页
基金
笔者主持的国家社科基金重大研究专项课题《“一带一路”建设与周边外交方略研究》(项目编号:2017010186)的阶段性成果
关键词
中日关系
对日外交
中国外交
美国因素
Sino-Japanese relations
diplomacy toward Japan
Chinese diplomacy
US factor
