摘要
研究目标:分析1995~2016年中国八大区域人类发展指数空间差异演变及其结构分解。研究方法:使用基尼系数和泰尔系数刻画中国人类发展指数空间差异演进过程,采用基尼系数分解方法和主成分法分析空间差异的来源构成及其变化,应用Kaya恒等式扩展和LMDI因素分解识别我国人类发展指数变化的驱动效应。研究发现:中国人类发展指数明显提高,人类发展指数的地区差异稳步减小,八大区域之间人类发展指数差异决定了中国人类发展指数总体区域差异的走向。收入指数差异的缩小是我国人类发展指数区域差异趋于缩小的主要原因。我国人类发展指数的变化由经济效应和技术效应双轮驱动,生态效率效应和社会效应对我国人类发展指数提高有抑制作用。研究创新:基于八大区域视角,揭示中国人类发展水平的区域差异变化特征及其动因。研究价值:刻画中国人类发展指数区域差异的演变过程,分析其来源及变化,为缩小我国区域间人类发展水平差距,促进人类发展水平空间均衡提供政策建议。
Research Objectives:This paper analyzes the spatial difference evolution and structural decomposition of human development index(HDI)in Eight Regions of China from 1995 to 2016.Research Methods:Using the Gini coefficient and the Theil coefficient to describe the evolution process of the spatial difference of China s HDI,the structural decomposition method of Gini coefficient and Principal Component Analysis are used to analyze the source composition of the difference and the driving effect of its change.Then the Kaya identity extension and LMDI index decomposition analysis are employed to identify the driving mechanism of China s HDI change.Research Findings:The human development index in China has increased significantly,and the regional difference of it has steadily decreased.The eight regional differences determine the trend of the overall regional difference of the HDI in China.The decrease of income index difference is the main reason why HDI tends to spatial equilibrium in China.The structural imbalance of income,health and education index will enlarge the spatial difference of human development index in China.The change of HDI is driven by economic effect and technological effect,and the ecological efficiency effect and social effect can inhibit the improvement of HDI in our country.Research Innovations:Based on the eight regional perspectives,this paper reveals the regional differences,source composition and motivation of HDI in China,and identifies the driving effect of the change of HDI.Research Value:This paper portrays the evolution process of China s HDI,and provides policy recommendations for narrowing the gap between human development indices among regions and promoting the coordinated development of the eight regions.
作者
王圣云
姜婧
Wang Shengyun;Jiang Jing(Research Center of China Economic and Social Development,Nanchang University;School of Economics and Management,Nanchang University)
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第4期85-106,共22页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
国家自然科学地区基金(41861025)
教育部人文社会科学研究项目(18YJA790082)的资助。
关键词
人类发展指数
空间差异
基尼系数
泰尔系数
八大区域
Human Development Index(HDI)
Spatial Difference
Gini Coefficient
Theil Coefficient
Driving Effect
Eight Regions
