摘要
文章运用社会网络分析法,基于国际货币基金组织数据库提供的双边贸易数据,构建了"10+3"国家贸易网络。通过网络密度、中心度以及核心-边缘结构分析,考察了整体贸易网络格局的演变情况。随后通过拓展引力模型,对影响该贸易网络特征的因素进行分析。研究发现:"10+3"国家早在2000年就已经形成较为紧密的贸易网络,中日韩三国占据着核心的影响地位,然而随着贸易网络结构愈发紧密,仍有如柬埔寨、文莱、老挝等欠发达地区处于贸易网络的边缘,与其他国家贸易联系较弱;影响因素方面,RTA的存在对于贸易网络有着明显正向促进效应,领土接壤的国家更容易发生贸易,语言对于贸易的促进效果不显著,地理距离的增加具有负面影响。
The paper uses the social network analysis method to build a "10+3" countries’ trade network based on bilateral trade data provided by the IMF database.Through the analysis of network density,centrality,and core-periphery structure,the evolution of the trade network pattern is examined.Then,through the extended gravity model,the paper analyzed the factors that affect the trade network.The study found that "10+3" countries have formed a relatively close trade network as early as 2000,and China,Japan,and South Korea occupy a core influence position.However,as the trade network structure becomes more and more tight,there are still countries such as Cambodia,Brunei,Laos are on the edge of the trade network and have weak trade links with other countries.In terms of influencing factors,the existence of RTA has a significant positive effect on the trade network.Neighbouring countries are more prone to trade.The effect of language is not significant,and the increase in geographical distance has a negative effect.
作者
王子豪
Wang Zihao(School of Business Administration,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan 430073,China)
出处
《中南财经政法大学研究生学报》
2020年第1期31-39,共9页
Journal of the Postgraduate of Zhongnan University of Economics and Law
