摘要
随着中国对外开放程度的扩大,汇率形成机制不断完善,汇率双向波动成为一种常态,汇率双向波动增加了跨境资金流动的不确定性,带来了管理风险。本文综合考虑外汇储备变动、汇率波动、汇率预期等一系列因素,从资金流动和汇率承压两个角度切入,构建跨境资金流动风险指数和外汇市场压力指数,以"双指标"体系分析和评估我国跨境资金流动风险以及汇率波动风险,并提出防范和应对风险的对策建议。
With the expansion of opening to the outside world,Exchange rate formation mechanism continues to improve,Two-way fluctuation of exchange rate becomes a new normal,the wo-way fluctuation of exchange rate increases uncertainty of the Cross-border capital flows,brings management risk.This paper will try to make measurement and evaluation of Cross-border Capital flow risk in the Environment of two-way Exchange rate fluctuation,and according to the importance of the influencing factors,put forward some counter-measures and suggestions to prevent and deal with the risks.
作者
陈咏晖
Chen Yonghui(Changsha Central Sub-branch the People’Bank of China)
出处
《金融发展评论》
2019年第5期1-13,共13页
Financial Development Review
关键词
汇率
双向波动
风险
建议
Exchange Rate
Two-way Fluctuation
Risk
Suggestions
