摘要
文章运用系统动力学反馈结构和联立方程,对“互联网+”驱动产业结构升级进行区域异质性研究。首先,基于系统动力学的反馈环结构,构建“互联网+”驱动产业结构升级的路径;之后,针对互联网与产业结构升级之间的反馈回路,建立联立方程;最后,根据联立方程进行区域异质性分析。结论表明:企业研发投入的增加能否对互联网技术进步率起到正向的推动作用,关键在于互联网企业的发展模式。东部区域,上海市的“互联网+农业”效果理想,福建和山东省的工业互联网发展状况良好,北京市的“互联网+教育”效果佳;中部区域,山西省“互联网+农业”较有成效,江西省的工业互联网发展状况良好;东北区域,辽宁省的“互联网+”与传统产业结合发展状况较理想;西部区域,内蒙古、重庆、西藏“互联网+农业”较有成效,贵州省工业互联网发展状况良好,“互联网+服务业”发展动力尚未形成。
In this paper,we use system dynamics feedback structure and simultaneous equations to study regional heterogeneity of“Internet Plus”driving industrial upgrading.First,based on the feedback loop structure of system dynamics,we construct the path of“Internet Plus”to drive the upgrading of industrial structure.After that,we establish a simultaneous equation for the feedback loop between the Internet and the upgrading of industrial structure.Finally,we analyze regional heterogeneity based on simultaneous equations.The conclusion shows that whether the increase of R&D investment can play a positive role in promoting the rate of Internet technological progress depends on the development mode of Internet enterprise.In the eastern region,“Internet+agriculture”is ideal in Shanghai;Fujian and Shandong’s industrial Internet developmentsare good;Beijing’s“Internet+education”is good.In the central region,Shanxi’s“Internet+agriculture”is more effective;Jiangxi’s industrial Internet development is good.Inthe northeast region,Liaoning’s“Internet+traditional industries”is ideal.In the western region,Inner Mongolia,Chongqing and Tibet’s“Internet+agriculture”are more effective,and the industrial Internet development in Guizhou is in good condition,but the“Internet+services”development momentum has not yet been formed.
作者
李昊
范德成
LI Hao;FAN De-cheng(School of Management Science and Engineering,Tianjin University of Finance and Economics,Tianjin 300222,China;School of Economics and Management,Harbin Engineering University,Harbin Heilongjiang 150001,China)
出处
《技术经济与管理研究》
北大核心
2020年第6期84-92,共9页
Journal of Technical Economics & Management
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目(71703016)
国家社科基金青年项目(19CGL002)。
