摘要
通过构建VAR模型,采用格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应函数等方法分析了2001—2018年山西省运城市城镇化和农民收入的关系,结果表明:农民收入是城镇化的单向格兰杰原因,短期内影响有增大趋势,长期趋于稳定;城镇化对农民收入具有后发力量,影响先呈下降状态,然后又逐渐上升。最后,对山西省运城市今后的发展提出了一些可行性建议。
Based on the VAR model and synthetically using granger causality test and impulse response,this paper analyzes the relationship between urbanization rate and peasants’income in Yuncheng City,Shanxi Province from 2001 to 2018.The results show that peasants’income is the one-way granger cause of urbanization rate,with an increasing trend in the short term and a stable trend in the long term;Urbanization has a late power on peasants’income,and at first its influence decreases,then increases gradually.Finally,some feasible Suggestions are put forward for the future development of Yuncheng City.
作者
陈江波
郭晓佳
高烨昕
Chen Jiangbo;Guo Xiaojia;Gao Yexin(College of Geographical Science,Shanxi Normal University,Linfen Shanxi 041000;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101)
出处
《对外经贸》
2020年第5期154-157,共4页
FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE
基金
国家自然科学青年基金(编号:41701062)
山西师范大学校自然科学基金(编号:ZR1714)。
关键词
城镇化
农民收入
VAR模型
运城市
Urbanization Rate
Peasants’Income
VAR Model
Yuncheng City
