摘要
洲内旅游一直是世界入境旅游的主体。为揭示大洲尺度下国家间入境旅游空间格局演化及驱动因素,利用泰尔指数、基尼系数、重心模型等方法,分析1998—2017年亚洲国家入境旅游空间格局演化特征和规律,并利用面板数据回归方法探讨影响格局演化的主要因素。结果表明:亚洲国家入境旅游空间差异可大致分成两个阶段,即波动阶段(1998—2004年)和持续下降阶段(2005—2017年);入境旅游高值国家和低值国家在空间上呈随机分布态势,并且不存在显著的空间自相关性,少部分国家一直处在高或较高等级,而大部分国家一直处在低或较低等级;21世纪以来,亚洲国家入境旅游重心在加速向东偏南方向转移,在南亚、东南亚和东亚地区形成“入境旅游高值集聚区”;外国直接投资、航空运输能力、国家经济发展程度对亚洲国家入境旅游空间格局演变有显著影响。
Spatial pattern and differences of continent-scale inbound tourism are rarely studied.The changing characteristics of spatial patterns of the inbound tourism in Asian countries from 1998 to 2017 are revealed by use of Theil index,Gini coefficient,gravity center,spatial autocorrelation,and some key factors of these patterns are preliminarily discussed.The results show that the spatial difference of inbound tourism in Asian countries can be roughly divided into two stages,that is,fluctuation stage(1998-2004)and continuous decline stage(2005-2017).The high and low developed countries of inbound tourism show a random distribution trend,some countries are always in the high or higher level,while most countries are always in the low or lower level.In recent years,the gravity center of inbound tourism in Asian countries has shifted eastward to the south at an accelerated speed,and a“high value agglomerations of inbound tourism”has basically formed in eastern,southern and east southern Asia.However,there is no spatial autocorrelation in inbound tourism in Asian countries.It is found that FDI,air traffic and national economic level have significant impacts on spatial differences in inbound tourism in Asian countries.
作者
王永明
王悦嘉
孙骜
WANG Yongming;WANG Yuejia;SUN Ao(College of Tourism,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,Hunan,China;School of Geography Science,Qinghai Normal University,Xining 810008,Qinghai,China;Academy of Plateau Science and Sustainability,Xining 810008,Qinghai,China)
出处
《陕西师范大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第4期14-19,共6页
Journal of Shaanxi Normal University：Natural Science Edition
基金
国家自然科学基金(41761023)。
关键词
入境旅游
空间格局
重力模型
空间自相关
亚洲国家
inbound tourism
spatial pattern
gravity model
spatial autocorrelation
Asian countries
