摘要
物有所值评价能够为公共项目实施模式的选择提供决策依据,但就目前的情况而言,物有所值定量评估存在比较大的争议。因此,在对传统模型进行了研究后,以此为基础在实物期权B-S模型中借助三角模糊数概念进行结合,试图将PPP项目评估过程中被忽略的期权价值发掘出来。以某旅游创意园项目为例,在不完全脱离现有评估体系的基础上计算得出不确定性价值范围,以期通过一个更加全面视角为物有所值定量评价提供参考依据。
Value-for-money evaluation can provide decision-making basis for the selection of public project implementation mode.As far as the current situation is concerned,there is a great controversy in the quantitative evaluation of value for money.Therefore,after the study of the traditional model,based on the B-S model of real options,this paper combines the concept of triangular fuzzy number and tries to find out the value of options neglected in the evaluation process of PPP projects.Taking a tourism creative park project as an example,the uncertainty value range is calculated without completely deviating from the existing evaluation system,so as to provide a more comprehensive perspective for the quantitative evaluation of value for money.
作者
陈雅
聂春龙
陈振富
CHEN Ya;NIE Chunlong;CHEN Zhenfu(School of Civil Engineering,University of South China,Hengyang,Hunan 421001,China)
出处
《南华大学学报（自然科学版）》
2020年第3期31-35,50,共6页
Journal of University of South China：Science and Technology
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(51678286)。
关键词
PPP模式
VFM定量评估
实物期权法
三角模糊数
PPP model
quantitative evaluation of VFM
real option method
triangular fuzzy number
