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基于奥运奖牌的一带一路沿线国家竞技体育格局的动态变化

Dynamic Change of National Competitive Sports Strength Pattern along the Belt and Road Based on Olympic Medal
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摘要 探索一带一路沿线国家竞技体育实力发展水平及其影响因素,对服务我国对外开放战略,推动提高“一带一路”沿线国家的竞技实力具有重要意义。基于第25~31届奥运会奖牌统计数据,运用数理统计和空间分析方法,探究1992~2019年一带一路沿线国家(地区)竞技实力的时空分布特征、演变规律,并从自然、社会与经济3个方面选取国土面积、气候类型、人口数量、受教育水平、GDP、预算支出和卫生支出等7个影响因素,采用定量和定性分析相结合的方法,从不同层次、不同角度分析各因素对竞技实力分布的影响。一带一路沿线国家竞技实力整体处于较低水平,零奖牌区国家占国家总数的26.56%,低水平区占国家总数的57.81%,中水平区和高水平区仅占到12.50%和3.12%;国家竞技实力受国土面积、人口数量、GDP、预算支出、气候类型多方面因素的影响,国土面积大、人口数量多、GDP和预算支出多、温带大陆性气候和季风气候地区的国家竞技实力普遍较强。 It is of great significance to research the development level and influencing factors of competitive sports strength of countries along the Belt and Road route for serve China's opening-up strategy,and promote the improvement of the competitive strength of countries along the Belt and Road route.Based on the statistics of the medals of the 25th to 31st Olympic Games,using the mathematical statistics and spatial analysis methods,the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics,evolution rules of the competitive strengths of the countries along the Belt and Road in 1992 to 2019 are explored.In addition,seven influencing factors including land area,climate type,population size,education level,GDP,budget expenditure and health expenditure were selected from the natural,social and economic aspects to analyze the influence of various factors on the distribution of competitive power from different levels and perspectives by combining quantitative and qualitative analysis.The results show that:The national competitive strength along the Belt and Road Initiative is at a relatively low level.The zero medal area countries account for 26.56%of the total number of countries,the low levels area accounts for 57.81%of the total number of countries,and the medium and high levels area only account for 12.50%and 3.12%.The national competitive strength is affected by many factors such as land area,population,GDP,budget expenditure and climate type.The national competitive strength is generally strong in the regions with large land area,large population,large GDP and budget expenditure,temperate continental climate and monsoon climate.
作者 石金毅 范媛媛 贾鹏 刘海 SHI Jinyi;FAN Yuanyuan;JIA Peng;LIU Hai(College of Physical Education,Hubei University,Wuhan Hubei,430062;Hubei Leisure Sports Development Research Center,Wuhan Hubei,430062;Faculty of Resources and Environment Science,Hubei University,Wuhan Hubei,430062)
出处 《湖北体育科技》 2020年第6期514-518,共5页 Hubei Sports Science
基金 湖北休闲体育发展研究中心2019年度开放基金(2019Y023) 区域开发与环境响应湖北省重点实验室2018年度开放研究基金(2018B(003)) 国家自然科学基金项目(41971402)。
关键词 一带一路 竞技体育 奥运奖牌 动态变化 影响因素 Belt and Road competitive sport Olympic medal dynamic change influencing factor
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