摘要
文章通过构建制造业发展质量评价指标体系,采用投影寻踪模型对中国30个省份1998-2017年制造业发展质量进行了评价,并利用ESDA空间统计等方法分析制造业发展质量空间分异特征。结果表明:近20年,我国制造业发展质量稳步提升,但总体水平较低,要素支撑结构呈现出"单轮驱动型—双轮驱动型—三轮驱动型"的动态优化,效率效益始终是短板;四大板块制造业发展质量均呈上升趋势,但区域异质性明显,要素支撑结构亦呈现出异质性,东部表现为结构优化、创新驱动"双轮驱动",中部呈现为方式转换"单轮驱动型"至结构优化、创新驱动"双轮驱动"的动态变化,西部和东北则为结构优化、方式转换的"双轮驱动",效率效益表现不佳是四大板块的"通病";我国制造业发展质量在空间上逐渐由"东—中—西"阶梯分布转变为"T"型分布,且呈现显著空间集聚特征,HH类型和LL类型均有扩大趋势,前者主要集中在东中部地区,后者主要集中在西部地区。据此,提出相关政策建议。
This paper constructs the evaluation index system for the development quality of manufacturing industry,evaluates the quality of manufacturing industry development in 30 provinces of China from 1998 to 2017 by using projection pursuit model,and analyzes the spatial differentiation characteristic of manufacturing industry development quality by using ESDA.The results show that in the past 20 years,the development quality of China’s manufacturing industry has been steadily improved,but the overall level is relatively low.The factor support structure presents a dynamic optimization of"one wheel drive-two wheels drive-threes wheel drive",and the efficiency and benefit are always short boards;the development quality of manufacturing industry in the four plates shows an upward trend,but the regional heterogeneity is obvious.The factor support structure also shows heterogeneity,and the East shows"two wheels drive"of structural optimization and innovation,the dynamic change from"single wheel drive"of mode conversion to"two wheels drive"of structural optimization and innovation drive in the Middle,and"two wheels drive"of structural optimization and mode conversion in the West and Northeast,but poor efficiency performance is the"common fault"of the four plates;the development quality of manufacturing industry has gradually changed from the"East-Middle-West"ladder distribution to the"T"distribution in space,and it shows a significant spatial clustering feature.Both HH type and LL type have the trend of expansion.The former is mainly concentrated in the East and Middle regions,the latter is mainly concentrated in the West.Based on these,this article puts forward some policy implications.
作者
李琳
王蔚阳
LI Lin;WANG Wei-yang(College of Economics and Trade,Hunan University,Changsha 410079,China)
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第9期1-11,共11页
East China Economic Management
基金
湖南省社会科学基金智库专项重大项目“湖南制造业高质量发展研究”(19ZWA38)。
关键词
制造业
发展质量
投影寻踪模型
异质性
manufacturing
development quality
projection pursuit model
heterogeneity
