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不同心脏手术风险评价系统预测单中心OPCABG患者术后延长机械通气的效能分析 被引量:3

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摘要 目的分析不同心脏手术风险评价系统对单中心非体外循环冠状动脉旁路移植术(OPCABG)患者术后延长机械通气(PMV)的预测效能。方法选取单中心接受OPCABG治疗的患者110例,其中术后发生PMV 28例;收集其术前临床资料,分别应用Standard EuroSCORE、Logistic EuroSCORE、EuroSCOREⅡ、SinoSCORE评价心脏手术风险;采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价各评价系统预测术后PMV发生的灵敏度和特异度,确定各评价系统预测PMV发生的临界值,并根据ROC下面积(AUC)评价分辨力。结果心脏手术风险评价系统得分Standard EuroSCORE为(5.39±2.06)分、SinoSCORE为2.00(-0.50,5.00)分,心脏手术预测的平均风险率EuroSCOREⅡ为1.30%(0.90%,1.70%)、Logistic EuroSCORE为4.04%(2.74%,6.45%)。SinoSCORE预测OPCABG术后PMV发生的AUC为0.650、95%CI 0.553~0.738、P <0.05,Standard EuroSCORE、Logistic EuroSCORE、EuroSCOREⅡ的AUC分别为0.517、0.541、0.578且P均> 0.05。结论 SinoSCORE在区分单中心OPCABG患者术后是否发生PMV方面有一定的能力,但预测效能有限;Standard EuroSCORE、Logistic EuroSCORE、EuroSCOREⅡ对单中心OPCABG术后PMV发生的预测效能较差。
出处 《山东医药》 CAS 2020年第23期54-56,共3页 Shandong Medical Journal
基金 天津市卫生行业重点攻关项目(15KG121)。
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