摘要
为度量入世后TBTs对中国鲜梨出口产生的具体贸易效应,选取2002~2017年中国向17个主要贸易伙伴国梨出口的面板数据,分别从HS-2位码、HS-4位码和HS-6位码通报层面实证分析TBTs对中国鲜梨出口量占比、出口价格指数和出口额占比的影响。研究表明,进口国在前一期提出的与鲜梨产品有关的TBTs对当期中国鲜梨出口量占比、出口额占比具有负向效应,且TBTs限制的商品范围越聚焦于鲜梨产品,负向效应越强;价格指数方面,进口国在前一期提出的与鲜梨产品有关的TBTs通报越多,则当期中国对其鲜梨出口的价格指数越高,该结果在HS-2位码和HS-6位码通报层面较为显著。最后,为中国鲜梨出口有效规避TBTs的不良影响,分别从政府、行业和企业层面提出相应政策建议。
In order to measure the specific trade effects of TBTs on China's fresh pear exports after joining the WTO,the panel data of China's fresh pear exports to 17 major trading partners was selected from 2002 to 2017,and the impact of TBTs on the ratio of China's fresh pear exports volumes,export price index,and the ratio of exports values were empirically analyzed from the reporting levels of HS-2,HS-4 and HS-6 digits,respectively.The results showed the TBTs related to fresh pear products proposed by importing countries in the previous period had a negative effect on the ratio of fresh pear exports volumes and values,and the more the ranges of commodities restricted by these TBTs were focused on fresh pear products,the stronger the negative effect was;In terms of price index,the more notifications of TBTs related to fresh pear products proposed by importing countries in the previous period,the higher the price index of China's fresh pear exports in the current period was.This result was more significant in the HS-2 digits and HS-6 digits notification levels.At last,for how to effectively avoid the adverse effects brought by TBTs in China's fresh pear exports,the corresponding policy recommendations were given from the government,industry and enterprise levels.
作者
彭世广
耿献辉
周应恒
PENG Shiguang;GENG Xianhui;ZHOU Yingheng(School of Economics and Management,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China;School of Economics,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China)
出处
《农业经济与管理》
CSSCI
2020年第4期25-35,共11页
Agricultural Economics and Management
基金
国家现代农业产业技术体系建设专项资金资助(CARS-28)。
关键词
TBTs
鲜梨出口
贸易效应
政策建议
TBTs
fresh pear export
trade effect
policy recommendation
