摘要
研究目的:在空间效应视角下探寻中国城市土地资源尾效及区域差异,为城市以及城市之间土地资源"趋利避害"配置与利用提供参考。研究方法:采用2003—2017年283座城市面板数据,构建土地资源尾效模型,借助空间面板杜宾模型对城市土地资源尾效直接效应和空间溢出效应进行分析。研究结果:(1)城市资本、劳动和土地等生产要素的投入以及经济产出并不是相互独立,而是存在地理上的空间相关性。(2)土地资源对城市经济增长具有促进和尾效的双重作用,促进作用大于尾效作用,同时也存在着区域差异性。(3)全国尺度上,城市土地资源尾效的直接效应和溢出效应同时存在,溢出效应尾效(0.007)小于直接效应尾效(0.037)。忽略邻近城市之间空间相关性,会低估城市土地资源尾效。(4)四大板块尺度上,东部地区土地资源对本地城市具有正向直接尾效(0.051)作用,对邻近城市具有负向溢出尾效(-0.006)作用;西部地区土地资源对本地城市具有正向直接尾效(0.021)作用,对邻近城市具有正向溢出尾效(0.015)作用;中部和东北地区土地资源各自仅对本地城市具有正向直接尾效(0.029,0.048)作用,对邻近城市尚未形成显著溢出尾效作用。研究结论:城市土地资源开发利用中需要站在全局视野上打破城市孤岛效应,综合考虑土地资源尾效空间溢出效应和区域差异,实施差异化的土地开发利用和产业布局政策,加强邻近城市之间的合作联动发展。
The purpose of the paper is to explore urban land resource growth drag and regional differences in China from the perspective of spatial effects,and to provide a reference for the allocation and utilization of land resources between cities.Research method: Using the data of 283 urban panels from 2003 to 2017,construct a land resource growth drag model,and analyze the direct effect and spatial spillover effect of urban land resource growth drag with the help of the spatial panel Dubin model.The results indicated that: 1) Inputs of production factors such as urban capital,labor,and land,and economic output are not independent of each other but are geographically spatially related.2) Land resources have a dual role in promoting urban economic growth and drag.The promotion effect is greater than the drag,and there are also regional differences.3) At the national scale,the direct effects and spillover effects of land resource growth drag coexist,and the spillover effect growth drag(0.007) is less than the direct effect growth drag(0.037).Ignoring the spatial correlation between neighboring cities will underestimate the urban land resource growth drag.4) On the four major plate scales,land resources in the eastern region have a positive direct growth drag(0.051) on local cities and a negative spillover(-0.006) growth drag on neighboring cities;land resources in the western region have a positive effect on local cities The direct growth drag(0.021) has a positive spillover growth drag on neighboring cities(0.015);the land resources in the central and northeastern regions each have a direct growth drag(0.029,0.048) on local cities and neighboring cities no significant spillover growth drag has been formed.In conclusion,in the development and utilization of urban land resources,it is necessary to break the urban island effect from a global perspective,comprehensively consider the spatial spillover effect of land resources growth drag and regional differences,implement differentiated land development and utilization and industrial layout policies,and strengthen the neighboring cities cooperative linkage development.
作者
杨喜
卢新海
李梦娜
Yang Xi;Lu Xinhai;Li Mengna
出处
《经济问题探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第9期100-109,共10页
Inquiry Into Economic Issues
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目“新旧动能转换背景下城市土地绿色低碳利用的动力机制及路径选择研究(41901256)”,项目负责人:匡兵
国家自然科学基金面上项目“藏粮于地理念下耕地轮作休耕对象确定、模式选择与实现路径研究(71673096)”,项目负责人:卢新海
国家社科基金一般项目“被征地农民安置模式比较及优化策略研究(15BGL156)”,项目负责人:徐济益。
