摘要
中国外部环境正在加速演变,必须慎重应对。本文提出分析和评估外部环境的基本思路,梳理2008—2017年外部环境变化与中国战略创新发展,探究2018年至今中国外部环境激变的根源与中国战略调整的指向,并呼吁加强战略研究,做好必要的应对准备。本文认为,中国积极应对2008年欧美债务危机以来的外部环境演变,以融入国际体系为主要路径,大力推动国际战略创新,实现了国家战略利益的全球拓展,并基本保证了中美关系的动态稳定和良性发展。2018年至今,百年变局、美国对华新战略、新冠疫情推动着中国外部环境激变,中国应冷静观察,稳健应对来自美国的挑战,坚持自力更生与扩大对外开放并行,立足东亚和周边地区,积极推动双边协调和多边合作的创新结合,实现中国外部环境的稳步改善。当前中国外部环境的激变为国际战略学科发展提供了新机遇,正在推动着国际战略研究黄金时代的到来,作者呼吁加强对中国外部环境的历史研究、比较研究,在提出应对之策的同时,积极推动理论创新,实现理论和实践的有机结合。
Accelerated changes of China’s external environment should be dealt with prudence. This paper mainly puts forward the basic idea for analyzing and evaluating China’s external environment, sorts out changes of external environment and development of China’s strategy from 2008 to 2017, probes into the root causes of China’s external environment changes and the direction of China’s strategic adjustment since 2018, calling for strengthening strategic study to make sufficient preparations towards the changes. This paper renders that China has actively responded to external changes since the 2018 debt crisis in Europe and America. Taking joining the international system as the main path and giving impetus to international strategic innovation, China has expanded national strategic interests in a global sphere and maintained the dynamic stability and benign development of China-US relation. Since 2018, drastic changes unseen in centuries, new U.S. strategy for China and Covid-19 pandemic have combined to lead to drastic external environment changes. China should cope with challenges from the U.S. with prudence and adhere to self-reliance and meanwhile further opening-up. Based in East Asia and surrounding regions,China should actively promote innovative combination of bilateral coordination and multi-lateral cooperation to achieve steady improvement to fits external environment. Current change of China’s external environment breeds new opportunities for the development of international strategic disciplines, driving the arrival of the golden age of international strategic studies.The paper suggests that we should reinforce historical and comparative studies on China’s external environment, promote theoretical innovation and propose workable solutions.
作者
门洪华
Men Honghua(School of Political Science&International Relations/Institute for China&World Studies,Tongji University,Shanghai 200092,China)
出处
《教学与研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第10期59-68,共10页
Teaching and Research
基金
教育部哲学社会科学重大课题攻关项目“国家安全战略研究”(项目号:18JZD058)
上海市教委2019年度本科重点课程项目“新时代的中国与世界”的阶段性成果。
关键词
外部环境
中美关系
新冠疫情
国际战略研究
中国外交
external environment
China-US relations
Covid-19 pandemic
international strategic study
China’s foreign policy
