摘要
文章利用1978—2017年各省人均实际GDP数据,分别采用空间横截面数据模型和空间动态面板数据模型,从时间和空间两个维度分析中国经济收敛性特征。研究发现,改革开放40年,中国全域经济经历了"收敛—发散—收敛"的过程;中国经济区域收敛特征随时间推移而变化:四大板块间经历了"俱乐部收敛""俱乐部收敛"不显著到"四大板块内部分化"的过程,南北区域间经历了不存在"俱乐部收敛""俱乐部收敛"到"南方经济分化,北方经济收敛"的过程。这意味着我国四大板块间差距逐渐缩小,南北区域间差距逐渐扩大。进一步从创新要素视角讨论南北差距逐渐扩大的原因,认为可能是创新能力差距、人力资本流向、营商环境等因素影响了南北方区域创新能力,从而造成南北区域经济差距扩大。
Based on the spatial cross-sectional data model and spatial dynamic panel data model,this paper analyzes the characteristics of China’s economic convergence from two perspectives of time and space exploiting real GDP per capita data of each province in China from 1978 to 2017 and.The study found that during the 40 years of reform and openingup,China’s global economy has experienced a"convergence-divergence-convergence"process.The regional convergence characteristics of the Chinese economy have changed over time.The four major sectors have gone through three stages:1)the"club convergence"stage,2)the insignificant"club convergence"stage,and 3)the stage of differentiation within the four major sectors.The North and South regions have developed three phases:1)the insignificant"club convergence"stage,2)the"club convergence"stage,and 3)the stage of economic differentiation within the southern region and economic convergence northern.These conclusions imply that the gap among the four major sectors has gradually narrowed,while between the north and south regions widened.This article further discusses the reasons for the widening gap between the North and the South from the perspective of innovation factors and believes that factors such as the gap in innovation capacity,the flow direction of human capital,and business environment et al.have affected the innovation capacity of the North and South regions,and widen the economic gap between North and South regions.
作者
董雪兵
池若楠
DOND Xuebing;CHI Ruonan(Center for Research Regional Coordination Development,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,Zhejiang,China;China Academy of West Region Development,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,Zhejiang,China;College of Economics,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,Zhejiang,China)
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第10期11-21,共11页
Economic Geography
基金
浙江省自然科学基金项目(LY18G030010)。
关键词
经济收敛
经济分化
南北差距
四大板块差距
高质量发展
economic convergence
economic divergence
economic disparity between northern regions and southern regions
economic disparity between four regions
high-quality development
