摘要
新疆提出全面"电气化新疆"工程,利用清洁环保的新能源实现"电能替代",将传统加热装置替换为电加热装置,开拓电采暖市场,促进富裕电能消纳,破解弃风弃光难题,优化能源结构,扩大电力消费。针对电气化新疆工程计划在乌鲁木齐市的推广过程中关键影响因素进行分析,并利用演化博弈论对该计划的综合效益进行优化。结果表明,通过演化博弈论对各方的综合利益优化,可以在不损害各方利益的前提下,实现全局利益的最优化。
The energy structure transformation proposed in 13th 5-Year plan has been carried well in Northwest China.A series of policies has been proposed in order to facilitate the growth rate of renewable energies.However,since the geographical limits,the unbalanced source-load distribution is limiting the further development of renewable energies.Exploring the effective ways of renewable energy consumption has become the top priority task for governments.Xinjiang government has proposed an electrified Xinjiang project which aims to make the traditional fossil-fuel heating system be replaced by electrical heating system.By using this system,the abundant clean energies can be consumed,the wind/photovoltaic curtailment can be reduced,and the energy structure can be upgraded.This paper focuses on the electrical Urumqi project(which is a part of electrified Xinjiang project),analyzes some factors influencing its promotion and optimize its promotion plan using evolutional game theory.The results show greater profits can be achieved by this method without damaging the profits of other players if each player could make some compromise.
作者
宁超
杨振
巴特
李言辉
蒙昌营
吕泉
张俊娜
NING Chao;YANG Zhen;BA Te;LI Yanhui;MENG Changying;LU Quan;ZHANG Junna(Changji Power Supply Company,State Grid Xinjiang Electric Power Co.,Ltd.,Changji 831100,China;Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,China)
出处
《电器与能效管理技术》
2020年第10期123-127,共5页
Electrical & Energy Management Technology
关键词
电采暖
新能源
演化博弈论
平均收益
electric heating
new energy
evolutional game theory
average return
