摘要
草牧业发展对于促进农业供给侧结构性改革、实施乡村振兴战略具有重要意义。因此,本文在总结2019年草牧业形势的基础上,结合国内形势与国际贸易环境以及全球新冠肺炎疫情的影响,对2020年草牧业走势进行了预测。结果显示:2019年牧草业生产形势向好,牛羊肉生产保持稳定;牧草价格先涨后跌,牛羊肉价格持续高位运行;牧草进口量大幅下跌,牛羊肉进口量上涨明显。2020年草畜产品产量有望与2019年持平,甚至小幅增加;市场需求将继续增长,价格呈波动式上涨;贸易规模小幅缩减。为加快实现草牧业高质量发展,提出短期内多渠道鼓励更多人参与到草牧业生产,鼓励企业实现种养结合的全产业链生产,本地化牧草优质高效生产,逐步完善草牧业政策等建议。
The development of grass-based animal husbandry is of great significance for promoting the structural reform of the agricultural supply side and implementing the strategy of rural revitalization.Therefore,on the basis of summarizing the situation of grass-based animal husbandry in 2019,considering the domestic situation and international trade environment,as well as the impact of the COVID-19,the trend of grass-based animal husbandry was forecasted in 2020.The results showed that the forage production situation in 2019 was improving,beef and mutton production remained stable;forage prices rose first and then fell,beef and mutton prices continued to run at a high level;forage imports fell sharply,beef and mutton imports rose significantly.The output of forage and livestock products in 2020 is expected to be the same as that in 2019,or even increases slightly;market demand will continue to grow,and prices will fluctuate;the scale of trade will shrink slightly.In order to accelerate the high-quality development of grass-based animal husbandry,some policy recommendations are put forward such as encouraging more people to participate in grass-based animal husbandry through multiple channels in the short term,encouraging enterprises to realize the production of the whole industry chain combining planting and animal husbandry,localizing high-quality and efficient forage production,and gradually improving the grass-based animal husbandry.
作者
王晓欣
刘彬
钱贵霞
WANG Xiaoxin;LIU Bin;QIAN Guixia(School of Economics&Management,Inner Mongolia University,Hohhot,Inner Mongolia 010021,China;Division of Quality Standards,National Animal Husbandry Station,Beijing 100125,China)
出处
《中国饲料》
北大核心
2020年第23期123-129,共7页
China Feed
基金
内蒙古哲学社会科学规划重点项目“内蒙古乡村振兴战略的着力点研究”(2018NDA005)
内蒙古自治区第八批草原英才团队“草原经济创新团队”(12000-12102303)。
关键词
草牧业
现状
趋势
政策建议
grass-based animal husbandry
present situation
trend
policy recommendations
