摘要
以评价指标中无量纲值对预测过程产生干扰,导致最终预测模型的准确率较小等问题为研究视角,基于综合评价法,对跨境电商交易规模增长动态预测模型进行研究。利用综合评价法确定了跨境电商交易规模增长指标,定义评价指标极值为无量纲值,以综合评价值的最大值及最小值确定预测模型的参数,完成动态预测模型的构建。实验结果表明:本研究中设计的预测模型预测成交量准确率为99.8%,模型预测结果较为准确。
Based on the comprehensive evaluation method,it studied the dynamic prediction model of cross-border E-commerce trade scale growth in this paper based on the comprehensive evaluation method.The scale growth index of cross-border E-commerce transactions was determined by using the comprehensive evaluation method.The extreme value of the evaluation index was defined as the dimensionless value.The parameters of the prediction model were determined by the maximum and minimum value of the comprehensive evaluation value,and the dynamic prediction model was completed.The experimental results showed that the accuracy rate of the prediction model is 99.8%,and the prediction result of the model is the most accurate.
作者
徐蕾
XU Lei(Practical Teaching Centre,Minnan University of Science and Technology,Shishi,362700,Fujian)
出处
《蚌埠学院学报》
2020年第6期40-44,共5页
Journal of Bengbu University
基金
教育部协同育人项目(201802215014)。
关键词
综合评价法
跨境电商
交易规模
动态预测
comprehensive evaluation method
cross-border E-commerce
transaction scale
dynamic prediction
